Originally Posted by gottago:
“You missed Istanbul as well!”
Rats! That's what, seven in 26 years? Still, a pretty low average, really counts against anybody putting together a bid that isn't a capital city. The other cities would have had to put fantastic bids in to have a small chance of beating Kiev.
It is just a theory, I confess, but I suppose the real test of this would be in the highly unlikely scenario of Belgium, Spain or the UK winning with the distinct national identities within the semi-federal higher structure.
Its not going to be just the state of the potential venues or the logistical support, availability of good hotel rooms and transport links which are all essential and could be an absolute killer for some of the other bids over and above the problems with the venues. Limitations are to be expected, yes, Kiev is I believe the eighth largest city in Europe. There is a measure called global cities, it analyses cities global significance and influence across a number of criteria including finance, politics, R&D, cultural etc. Kiev is presently rated as being in the second-tier of cities in the bubbling under group, it has some evidence of global city status, but not enough, give it twenty years. This low rating suggests that the capital has a lack of major facilities and the wealth and vitality to support them, despite the cities undeniable strategic Eastern European reach (for reference, Glasgow, Birmingham and Manchester come out no better and have the good fortune of being peaceable, reasonably well governed and relatively rich). If Kiev as the capital and as an important regional centre, barely gets onto the list then you can bet that the other cities competing will find it even harder and whole countries may struggle to find anywhere that meets the kind of criteria to just miss the list. The Ukrainians will manage somehow, but it will be harder all round.
But over and above all that, its like the Olympics, Manchester put in two decent bids back in 1996 and 2000, I doubt anybody really believed in them although they had clearly thought them through, but frankly, Manchester isnt London, it just didnt have the same oomph, you know, it was always going to have to be London to get it and it did. Its the Olympics, or in this case the Olympics of Pop Music. Its just easier to do it in the capital.
This altogether suggests three fundamental questions 1. has
Eurovision gotten so big that only the fool-hardy would ever attempt to win? 2. Does it now price out countries from putting in serious entries in-case they win? 3. Did Jamala really truly believe she could win rather than just putting in the most intense protest number in the history of the Contest and if so what the hell was she thinking? Its the darkest of dark horses. What the Director General of the NTU wouldn't do for a time machine I'll bet....