I have been really impressed with Spain and Italy at the tournament

Spain Italy as well, I normally hate watching Spain but there is no outstanding side

France play the best football though

Belgium were much better against Ireland the other day and could have scored about five or six if they really wanted to

Italy containing Belgium was the best performance of the tournament so far. But there is no outstanding team this year.

Italy better than expected. Wales, Poland, England, Croatia all look decent. Iceland, Albania, Northern Ireland, Hungary all creditable too. No-one totally out of their depth.

Chances of winning in my fictional bookies....

3/1 France
7/2 Germany, Spain
6-1 - 10/1 Italy, England, Belgium, Croatia
16/1 - 20/1 Wales, Portugal, Poland
33/1 Others

Spain are definitely the strongest team overall. France have unbelievable individual talent, but a manger that's not good enough to make a team out of them, so they might not win it. Germany have the best manager and are strong, but not nearly as strong as they were 2 years ago. Italy have shocked me with how good Conte is as a coach, but I just don't think they're individually strong enough to go all the way (they might take out Germany though if they meet in the quarter-finals )