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Betting Odds Winner/Eviction Update + Save Eviction Polls
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Salv*
14-07-2016
Big update to sum up everything here, so firstly... odds:

Winners Odds:

Hughie- 3.55
Jackson- 4.1
Alex- 6.2
Andy- 7.0
Jason- 7.2
Jayne- 14
Ryan- 25
Evelyn-29
Laura- 48
Sam- 70

Eviction Odds:

Sam- 7/4
Ryan- 7/2
Laura- 7/2
Evelyn- 7/1
Jason- 7/1
Jayne- 7/1
Alex- 10/1
Jackson- 12/1
Hughie- 25/1

Polls (TO SAVE)

TiBB (524 votes)

Jason- 28.1%
Hughie- 21.2%
Jayne- 14.5%
Evelyn- 13.7%
Jackson- 11.6%
Laura- 4%
Alex- 3.1%
Ryan- 2.7%
Sam- 1.1%

BBspy (1,857 votes)

Jayne- 15.35%
Hughie- 14.81%
Jason- 12.98%
Evelyn- 11.85%
Jackson- 10.61%
Laura- 10.39%
Alex- 8.56%
Ryan- 8.56%
Sam- 6.89%

Tellymix (3,759 votes)

Jason- 29.26% (1,100 votes)
Hughie- 29.02% (1,091 votes)
Jackson- 13.94% (524 votes)
Jayne- 8.33% (313 votes)
Alex- 7.02% (264 votes)
Evelyn- 5.64% (212 votes)
Laura- 2.71% (102 votes)
Ryan- 2.71% (102 votes)
Sam- 1.36% (51 votes)

So close in the Top 2 in Tellymix

I do think Jason is being overestimated in the polls because he would have gotten Andy support votes. If they both make the final, their votes will be split. Around 8-10% perhaps of Jason's votes may have come from Andy fans who obviously can;t vote Andy.
Verence
14-07-2016
Originally Posted by Salv*:
“I do think Jason is being overestimated in the polls because he would have gotten Andy support votes. If they both make the final, their votes will be split. Around 8-10% perhaps of Jason's votes may have come from Andy fans who obviously can;t vote Andy.”

That's true

Assuming that Jason survives this week and there are normal noms next week then I think that both Andy and Jason will be up next week.

If it was a single eviction their fans could target one of the other potential HMs to target, votes-wise but as it's likely to be a double then it would be a bit more difficult
hannah
14-07-2016
Originally Posted by Verence:
“That's true

Assuming that Jason survives this week and there are normal noms next week then I think that both Andy and Jason will be up next week.

If it was a single eviction their fans could target one of the other potential HMs to target, votes-wise but as it's likely to be a double then it would be a bit more difficult”

Nah I think the housemates will nominate Jackson and Alex for taking the money
Salv*
14-07-2016
Originally Posted by Verence:
“That's true

Assuming that Jason survives this week and there are normal noms next week then I think that both Andy and Jason will be up next week.

If it was a single eviction their fans could target one of the other potential HMs to target, votes-wise but as it's likely to be a double then it would be a bit more difficult”

Yep. May explain why Hughie is well above Jason in the polls which include Andy in the vote, so Jason's increase must include a few % from Andy supporters.
Salv*
14-07-2016
Originally Posted by hannah:
“Nah I think the housemates will nominate Jackson and Alex for taking the money”

Do we know there will be nominations? Could be everyone up for final eviction, could even be the win vote and double eviction.
hannah
14-07-2016
[/php]
Originally Posted by Salv*:
“Do we know there will be nominations? Could be everyone up for final eviction, could even be the win vote and double eviction.”

If is nominations next week then I think they will all vote for Jackson and Alex
Verence
14-07-2016
Originally Posted by hannah:
“
If is nominations next week then I think they will all vote for Jackson and Alex”

I think there would still be a lot of residual anger towards Jason for taking the 20 grand and evicting Lateysha
spkx
14-07-2016
So it looks like the B3 will be Sam/Ryan and one of Laura/Evelyn/Alex
Vesna
14-07-2016
Originally Posted by Salv*:
“Do we know there will be nominations? Could be everyone up for final eviction, could even be the win vote and double eviction.”

Pretty sure there will be, they haven't done face to face yet.
hannah
14-07-2016
Originally Posted by Verence:
“I think there would still be a lot of residual anger towards Jason for taking the 20 grand and evicting Lateysha”

Maybe but I definitely see Alex and Jackson being up for eviction if housemates nominate
sheils1
14-07-2016
Originally Posted by Salv*:
“Yep. May explain why Hughie is well above Jason in the polls which include Andy in the vote, so Jason's increase must include a few % from Andy supporters.”

And maybe people think Jason played a great game getting rid of Laytesha and deserves to be in the final.
Verence
14-07-2016
Originally Posted by Vesna:
“Pretty sure there will be, they haven't done face to face yet.”

I was hoping for one series without FtF noms....
Arthur_B
14-07-2016
Nice to see Ryan not being popular.
Dangermoose
14-07-2016
Hughie's popularity baffles me

Is he getting the anti-Andy vote?
Salv*
14-07-2016
Originally Posted by hannah:
“[/php]

If is nominations next week then I think they will all vote for Jackson and Alex”

I think most will gather up a vote from somewhere.

Lets forget who goes this week, and pretend they all nom now, this is how i see it.

Alex- Hughie + Laura
Andy- Hughie + Ryan
Evelyn- Jackson + Jason
Hughie- Jason + Alex
Jackson- Laura + Evelyn
Jason- Jayne and Evelyn
Jayne- Jackson + Jason
Laura- Jackson + Alex
Ryan- Jason + Andy
Sam- Ryan + Jason

Jackson- 3
Jason- 3
Ryan- 2
Hughie- 2
Laura- 2
Evelyn- 2

Jayne- 1
Alex- 1
Andy- 1

Sam no nominations.... WHY?
Salv*
14-07-2016
Originally Posted by Dangermoose:
“Hughie's popularity baffles me

Is he getting the anti-Andy vote?”

You call this popularity? This is much less than what he was getting the last few weeks, he was getting 35% with 13 of them there two weeks back. People are growing tired of him, but he is still the most popular of that group as an anti-Jason/Andy vote. Even though he doesn't mind Jason.

I still like him but he won't win anymore. If Ryan was gone, it would help him a lot. His popularity started going downhill when Lateysha accepted him in the group.
Verence
14-07-2016
Originally Posted by Salv*:
“I think most will gather up a vote from somewhere.

Lets forget who goes this week, and pretend they all nom now, this is how i see it.

Alex- Hughie + Laura
Andy- Hughie + Ryan
Evelyn- Jackson + Jason
Hughie- Jason + Alex
Jackson- Laura + Evelyn
Jason- Jayne and Evelyn
Jayne- Jackson + Jason
Laura- Jackson + Alex
Ryan- Jason + Andy
Sam- Ryan + Jason

Jackson- 3
Jason- 3
Ryan- 2
Hughie- 2
Laura- 2
Evelyn- 2

Jayne- 1
Alex- 1
Andy- 1

Sam no nominations.... WHY?”

More than enough up for BB to make it a double
Verence
14-07-2016
I'm not sure if we can read too much into the eviction odds as according to Oddschecker only Ladbrokes are offering odds at the moment
Barracute
14-07-2016
Originally Posted by Salv*:
“I think most will gather up a vote from somewhere.

Lets forget who goes this week, and pretend they all nom now, this is how i see it.

Alex- Hughie + Laura
Andy- Hughie + Ryan
Evelyn- Jackson + Jason
Hughie- Jason + Alex
Jackson- Laura + Evelyn
Jason- Jayne and Evelyn
Jayne- Jackson + Jason
Laura- Jackson + Alex
Ryan- Jason + Andy
Sam- Ryan + Jason

Jackson- 3
Jason- 3
Ryan- 2
Hughie- 2
Laura- 2
Evelyn- 2

Jayne- 1
Alex- 1
Andy- 1

Sam no nominations.... WHY?”

At least one will be evicted tomorrow, and what effect not only that has but who the bottom 3 are could have some affect on any noms that follow. Until the outcome of tomorrow is known i dont think we can be sure what may happen in any noms
IAmLewis
14-07-2016
Happy to see Jayne quite high in the polls
Barracute
14-07-2016
Originally Posted by Verence:
“I'm not sure if we can read too much into the eviction odds as according to Oddschecker only Ladbrokes are offering odds at the moment”

no one else is offering odds because its not clear cut what happens to the bottom 3 , i dont think its simply who gets least votes goes.....
Mirage
14-07-2016
Originally Posted by Salv*:
“Do we know there will be nominations? Could be everyone up for final eviction, could even be the win vote and double eviction.”

I would be very shocked if BB didn't do face to face nominations next week. They seem to manage to squeeze that in every series.
Vicky8675309
14-07-2016
If/When Jason is saved I wonder what the HMs will think.
If/When Sam/Ryan have the least votes to save, I wonder what the HMs will think

I'm really enjoying this series
Verence
14-07-2016
Originally Posted by Barracute:
“no one else is offering odds because its not clear cut what happens to the bottom 3 , i dont think its simply who gets least votes goes.....”

Wasn't it said last night that the 7 HMs with the highest votes will have to chose which of the 3 HMs with the lowest votes they will evict??
Barracute
14-07-2016
Originally Posted by Vicky8675309:
“If/When Jason is saved I wonder what the HMs will think.
If/When Sam/Ryan have the least votes to save, I wonder what the HMs will think

I'm really enjoying this series ”

Jason being saved is what i am looking forward to the most - the hms reactions will be:
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