In my opinion (and I think it's been said by others on another thread) Charlie won it for him and Ryan lost it for Hughie.
I remember when the still alcoholic Denise Welch went after Michael Madsen, he tried very hard to keep away from her or to deflect her rants but in the end there were far more people who thought he was in the wrong that evicted him.
I think the days of tolerating women with obvious stalker/obsession issues, feeling sympathy for them and ire for the man, are well and truly over. It was uncomfortable watching her moaning on at him, hauling up old stuff that no one really cared about. Jason however, dealt with it admirably, when he ever tried to get her to see sense she'd raise her voice, turn on the tears and try to make him look bad. It didn't work. Her final rant in the courtroom task was the winner for him. Add all of this to him ditching the entitled Latisha and it was obvious the voting would go his way.
Hughie, bless him, he would have won if he'd had no relationship or picked Sam to hook up with. Ryan lost it for him. In my eyes, a vote for Hughie would have essentially been a vote for a nasty, vindictive little twerp. I think that's how many thought.