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Major movement in betting odds suggest Bear on course for victory |
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#1 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 3,125
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Major movement in betting odds suggest Bear on course for victory
On the betfair exchange this morning Bear's odds have tumbled from about 6/4 into 5/6 suggesting he now has an approximately 55% chance in a 8 runner race, with Ricky drifting from 6/4 out to over 2/1 , normally when this happens on days when voting is open it suggests people in the know may be backing who they are told is winning the vote. Is Bear starting to run away with it?
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#2 |
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Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 15,307
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This whole thing confuses me does this mean more likely to win or least likely to win?
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#3 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 3,125
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Quote:
This whole thing confuses me does this mean more likely to win or least likely to win?
Where as Ricky also started the day with about a 40% chance but is now rated more like a 30% chance. For that sort of betting movement to happen on one day is quite significant, suggests the people in the know are starting to back Bear. |
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#4 |
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Inactive Member
Join Date: Dec 2015
Posts: 130
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lols, what a load of rubbish
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#5 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 15,307
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Quote:
Basically this morning he was rated an approximate 40% chance to win, he's now an approximate 60% chance to win and as im looking his odds are constantly moving shorter suggesting a higher %.
Where as Ricky also started the day with about a 40% chance but is now rated more like a 30% chance. For that sort of betting movement to happen on one day is quite significant, suggests the people in the know are starting to back Bear. |
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#6 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 3,125
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Quote:
wow it just shows anything is possible now.
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#7 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2015
Posts: 2,803
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I think the Christmas episode may of swayed a few people, it was good edit for Bear IMO.
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#8 |
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Inactive Member
Join Date: Dec 2015
Posts: 130
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Are these the same insiders who had Tiffany an even shorter price?
Or the same insiders who had Hughie an even shorter price ? |
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#9 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 3,125
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Quote:
Are these the same insiders who had Tiffany an even shorter price?
Or the same insiders who had Hughie an even shorter price ? |
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#10 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Left London
Posts: 19,882
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Quote:
Yup all the heavy sums of money are now going onto Bear too on the exchanges, I'm convinced it will be people who have word of mouth about tonights vote. Suggests Bear is probably topping the vote for the first time in the series, peaking at the right time ready for friday.
It's all about the votes after the lines reopen tonight. |
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#11 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 3,125
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Quote:
I think the Christmas episode may of swayed a few people, it was good edit for Bear IMO.
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#12 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 5,283
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Quote:
wow it just shows anything is possible now.
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#13 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 3,125
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Quote:
Doesn't matter how the vote goes tonight the results are skewed, people are just trying to get certain people through to the final.
It's all about the votes after the lines reopen tonight. |
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#14 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 30,979
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Frankie has picked up a lot of support this week and it's more likely, as one of the good guys, that he would have taken support from Ricky. The top three this week are Ricky, Frankie and Bear. Ricky's vote is now split and Frankie could well overtake him.
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#15 |
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Inactive Member
Join Date: Dec 2015
Posts: 130
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Even if Bear tops tonight vote he still won't win
When it comes down to a h2h on Friday he will be smashed apart |
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#16 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2015
Posts: 2,803
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Quote:
Yeah thats true.
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#17 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 3,125
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Quote:
Will the voting lines stop tonight? Its only an hour show and 2 are leaving
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#18 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 9,024
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I've thought Bear would win this for weeks. BB has made it the Bear show. Personally I find him repugnant.
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#19 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 1,180
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Quote:
I've thought Bear would win this for weeks. BB has made it the Bear show. Personally I find him repugnant.
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#20 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2016
Posts: 1,271
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It's all part of the plan baby!
I went past caring about this show a while ago now. It's been a horrible series (which I won't bother dredging up reasons for). He's the deserving winner. #RIP BB |
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#21 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 23,464
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Quote:
On the betfair exchange this morning Bear's odds have tumbled from about 6/4 into 5/6 suggesting he now has an approximately 55% chance in a 8 runner race, with Ricky drifting from 6/4 out to over 2/1 , normally when this happens on days when voting is open it suggests people in the know may be backing who they are told is winning the vote. Is Bear starting to run away with it?
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#22 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Broughty Ferry
Posts: 30,532
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How the Public could want that disgrace of a Man to win is beyond me.
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#23 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: Titan Uranus
Posts: 31,966
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Ricky was in that spot just a few days ago.
Can't put too much faith in the odds, you start believing one thing then it switches around on a whim. Still expecting some random contender hitting the spotlight before Friday. |
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#24 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 56,295
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Quote:
Ricky was in that spot just a few days ago.
Can't put too much faith in the odds, you start believing one thing then it switches around on a whim. Still expecting some random contender hitting the spotlight before Friday. |
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#25 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: May 2003
Location: The Green Hills of Earth
Posts: 80,438
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He's staying constant whilst others have messed up.
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