On the betfair exchange this morning Bear's odds have tumbled from about 6/4 into 5/6 suggesting he now has an approximately 55% chance in a 8 runner race, with Ricky drifting from 6/4 out to over 2/1 , normally when this happens on days when voting is open it suggests people in the know may be backing who they are told is winning the vote. Is Bear starting to run away with it?
Major movement in betting odds suggest Bear on course for victory
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Originally Posted by gentleguy:
“This whole thing confuses me does this mean more likely to win or least likely to win?”
“This whole thing confuses me does this mean more likely to win or least likely to win?”
Basically this morning he was rated an approximate 40% chance to win, he's now an approximate 60% chance to win and as im looking his odds are constantly moving shorter suggesting a higher %.
Where as Ricky also started the day with about a 40% chance but is now rated more like a 30% chance. For that sort of betting movement to happen on one day is quite significant, suggests the people in the know are starting to back Bear.
Originally Posted by MattXfactor:
“Basically this morning he was rated an approximate 40% chance to win, he's now an approximate 60% chance to win and as im looking his odds are constantly moving shorter suggesting a higher %.
Where as Ricky also started the day with about a 40% chance but is now rated more like a 30% chance. For that sort of betting movement to happen on one day is quite significant, suggests the people in the know are starting to back Bear.”
“Basically this morning he was rated an approximate 40% chance to win, he's now an approximate 60% chance to win and as im looking his odds are constantly moving shorter suggesting a higher %.
Where as Ricky also started the day with about a 40% chance but is now rated more like a 30% chance. For that sort of betting movement to happen on one day is quite significant, suggests the people in the know are starting to back Bear.”
wow it just shows anything is possible now.
Originally Posted by gentleguy:
“wow it just shows anything is possible now.”
“wow it just shows anything is possible now.”
Yup all the heavy sums of money are now going onto Bear too on the exchanges, I'm convinced it will be people who have word of mouth about tonights vote. Suggests Bear is probably topping the vote for the first time in the series, peaking at the right time ready for friday.
Are these the same insiders who had Tiffany an even shorter price?
Or the same insiders who had Hughie an even shorter price ?
Or the same insiders who had Hughie an even shorter price ?
Originally Posted by julie_arkle:
“Are these the same insiders who had Tiffany an even shorter price?
Or the same insiders who had Hughie an even shorter price ?”
“Are these the same insiders who had Tiffany an even shorter price?
Or the same insiders who had Hughie an even shorter price ?”
In the final week the odds slowly swayed in favor of scotty T and he went into the final day a favorite. But obviously odds dont always reflect reality and Bear may still not win I just thought it may be food for thought.
Originally Posted by MattXfactor:
“Yup all the heavy sums of money are now going onto Bear too on the exchanges, I'm convinced it will be people who have word of mouth about tonights vote. Suggests Bear is probably topping the vote for the first time in the series, peaking at the right time ready for friday.”
“Yup all the heavy sums of money are now going onto Bear too on the exchanges, I'm convinced it will be people who have word of mouth about tonights vote. Suggests Bear is probably topping the vote for the first time in the series, peaking at the right time ready for friday.”
Doesn't matter how the vote goes tonight the results are skewed, people are just trying to get certain people through to the final.
It's all about the votes after the lines reopen tonight.
Originally Posted by al_capo:
“I think the Christmas episode may of swayed a few people, it was good edit for Bear IMO.”
“I think the Christmas episode may of swayed a few people, it was good edit for Bear IMO.”
Yeah I agree
Originally Posted by gentleguy:
“wow it just shows anything is possible now.”
“wow it just shows anything is possible now.”
Well when you get people voting in thousands across the entire series compared to over a million votes for a single eviction like back in the day then anything is possible and open to betting scandals
Originally Posted by threecheeses:
“Doesn't matter how the vote goes tonight the results are skewed, people are just trying to get certain people through to the final.
It's all about the votes after the lines reopen tonight.”
“Doesn't matter how the vote goes tonight the results are skewed, people are just trying to get certain people through to the final.
It's all about the votes after the lines reopen tonight.”
Yeah thats true.
Frankie has picked up a lot of support this week and it's more likely, as one of the good guys, that he would have taken support from Ricky. The top three this week are Ricky, Frankie and Bear. Ricky's vote is now split and Frankie could well overtake him.
Even if Bear tops tonight vote he still won't win
When it comes down to a h2h on Friday he will be smashed apart
When it comes down to a h2h on Friday he will be smashed apart
Originally Posted by MattXfactor:
“Yeah thats true.”
“Yeah thats true.”
Will the voting lines stop tonight? Its only an hour show and 2 are leaving
Originally Posted by al_capo:
“Will the voting lines stop tonight? Its only an hour show and 2 are leaving”
“Will the voting lines stop tonight? Its only an hour show and 2 are leaving”
Yeah theyl stop and re open to include the 2 americans
I've thought Bear would win this for weeks. BB has made it the Bear show. Personally I find him repugnant.
.
.
Originally Posted by amelie74:
“I've thought Bear would win this for weeks. BB has made it the Bear show. Personally I find him repugnant.
.”
“I've thought Bear would win this for weeks. BB has made it the Bear show. Personally I find him repugnant.
.”
This! IMO it's a mugs game voting on these shows as they edit the show apropraitely to maximise the revenue from the vote.
It's all part of the plan baby!
I went past caring about this show a while ago now. It's been a horrible series (which I won't bother dredging up reasons for). He's the deserving winner.
#RIP BB
I went past caring about this show a while ago now. It's been a horrible series (which I won't bother dredging up reasons for). He's the deserving winner.
#RIP BB
Originally Posted by MattXfactor:
“On the betfair exchange this morning Bear's odds have tumbled from about 6/4 into 5/6 suggesting he now has an approximately 55% chance in a 8 runner race, with Ricky drifting from 6/4 out to over 2/1 , normally when this happens on days when voting is open it suggests people in the know may be backing who they are told is winning the vote. Is Bear starting to run away with it?”
“On the betfair exchange this morning Bear's odds have tumbled from about 6/4 into 5/6 suggesting he now has an approximately 55% chance in a 8 runner race, with Ricky drifting from 6/4 out to over 2/1 , normally when this happens on days when voting is open it suggests people in the know may be backing who they are told is winning the vote. Is Bear starting to run away with it?”
Luckily I shall be away and not able to watch the final. The thought of the producers attention seeking puppet winning is abhorrent.
Ricky was in that spot just a few days ago.
Can't put too much faith in the odds, you start believing one thing then it switches around on a whim.
Still expecting some random contender hitting the spotlight before Friday.
Can't put too much faith in the odds, you start believing one thing then it switches around on a whim.
Still expecting some random contender hitting the spotlight before Friday.
Originally Posted by meglosmurmurs:
“Ricky was in that spot just a few days ago.
Can't put too much faith in the odds, you start believing one thing then it switches around on a whim.
Still expecting some random contender hitting the spotlight before Friday.”
“Ricky was in that spot just a few days ago.
Can't put too much faith in the odds, you start believing one thing then it switches around on a whim.
Still expecting some random contender hitting the spotlight before Friday.”
If marnie survives tonight she can still win
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