|
||||||||
Strictly Stats 2016 |
![]() |
|
|
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
|
|
#176 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 15,051
|
Quote:
I was more interested in predictions of dance-off/elimination candidates based on the stats. I'm fascinated by how good an indicator they've been so far and wanted to see if they do as well this week!
If you're interested in trends over the series I think it's between Greg, Ore and Judge Rinder. I think Eds dance is safe for him (he's only vulnerable on Ballroom weeks) and I suspect this is Claudias breakthrough week and she'll top out tomorrow if she doesn't she could be in trouble depending on who of Ed and Rinder wins the Komedy act of the night. |
|
|
|
|
Please sign in or register to remove this advertisement.
|
|
|
#177 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 972
|
Quote:
I don't think he's geoblocked. To be top 5 trending it must be getting viewed worldwide surely hence overnight figures.
|
|
|
|
|
|
#178 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 1,187
|
Rob Rinder and Greg in bottom 2 Greg going
|
|
|
|
|
|
#179 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 1,572
|
Quote:
I can't predict until after the show. I base my predictions on the Social Media reaction to the dance that night so I'll post after the main show (before the spoiler obviously) 😊
If you're interested in trends over the series I think it's between Greg, Ore and Judge Rinder. I think Eds dance is safe for him (he's only vulnerable on Ballroom weeks) and I suspect this is Claudias breakthrough week and she'll top out tomorrow if she doesn't she could be in trouble depending on who of Ed and Rinder wins the Komedy act of the night. |
|
|
|
|
|
#180 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 15,051
|
Quote:
Thanks for replying, I hadn't twigged the timings. Of those three I'd keep Greg but if he's in d/o with either of the others I think he'd go. Best get ready to vote!
|
|
|
|
|
|
#181 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 15,051
|
Facebook week 9:
Videos again! Ore and Joanne - 3.9k likes 123 shares ![]() Danny & Oti - 13k likes 1.1k shares ![]() Louise and Kevin 8k likes 237 shares ![]() Greg and Natalie - 2.7k likes 62 shares ![]() Claudia & AJ - 3.3k likes 113 shares ![]() Robert and Oksanna - 3.4k likes 174 shares ![]() Ed & Katya 3.5K likes 237k shares ![]() Greg is a cert like Daisy last week I think. Claudia, Judge Rinder and Ed all in danger too |
|
|
|
|
|
#182 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 15,051
|
Twitter Week 9:
Louise and Kevin 561 likes 99 retweets ![]() Danny & Oti - 866 likes 201 retweets ![]() Robert and Oksanna - 432 likes 94 retweets (likes down retweets up) Ed & Katya 458 likes 137 retweets ![]() Claudia & AJ - 301 likes 50 retweets ![]() Greg & Nat - 302 likes 38 retweets ![]() Ore & Joanne 289 likes 63 retweets ![]() Ore looks much more in danger on Twitter same as last week but as he's got a much safer leaderboard position it looks more likely to be Claudia meeting Greg. Judge Rinder is also much safer on Twitter |
|
|
|
|
|
#183 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 15,051
|
Youtube Week 9: (last weeks Sat Night position in Brackets)
1.Danny & Oti - 1078 views 149 likes 6 dislikes (2) 2. Louise & Kevin 441 views 51 likes 12 dislikes (4) 3. Ore and Joanne - 440 views 26 likes 18 dislikes (5 4. Ed and Katya -369 views 28 likes 13 dislike (1) 5. Claudia & AJ -355 views 45 likes 6 dislikes (3)) 6.Greg and Natalie -350 views 29 likes 6 dislikes (6) 7. Robert and Oksanna - 264 views 29 likes 4 dislikes (7) So it looks like Robert and Greg from Youtube but my caveat is YT never seems to be as strong for the Judge and they also waited an extra 10 mins to upload his vid and most of the others are a few mins apart. I reckon Claudia and Greg for tonight! Think the judge may just escape |
|
|
|
|
|
#184 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 1,572
|
Quote:
Facebook week 9:
Videos again! Ore and Joanne - 3.9k likes 123 shares ![]() Danny & Oti - 13k likes 1.1k shares ![]() Louise and Kevin 8k likes 237 shares ![]() Greg and Natalie - 2.7k likes 62 shares ![]() Claudia & AJ - 3.3k likes 113 shares ![]() Robert and Oksanna - 3.4k likes 174 shares ![]() Ed & Katya 3.5K likes 237k shares ![]() Greg is a cert like Daisy last week I think. Claudia, Judge Rinder and Ed all in danger too but for the other spot it's very close between Ore, Claudia, Judge and Ed.
|
|
|
|
|
|
#185 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 15,051
|
Quote:
From that I'd say Greg is a cert
but for the other spot it's very close between Ore, Claudia, Judge and Ed.Plus I know that Ore tends to do better on YT than the Judge and he does better on Twitter. FB and Twitter have been more reliable this year. Louise looks as nailed on for the final as Danny to me. |
|
|
|
|
|
#186 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 15,051
|
Youtube Week 9: sunday update:
1.Danny & Oti - 26551 views - 2. Louise & Kevin 10444 views 3. Ed and Katya - 10,040 4. Claudia & AJ - 9728 views 5. Robert and Oksanna - 7129 views 6. Ore and Joanne - 5994 7. Greg and Natalie - 4537 |
|
|
|
|
|
#187 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 15,051
|
Top 10 of the series so far:
1. Rinder and Oksanna- Cha Cha - 591,196 week 1 2. Ed and Katya - Salsa - 513,155 - Week 8 3. Danny and Oti - Cha Cha- 363,067 Week 1 4. Ore and Joanne - Jive - 367840 - week 4 5. Claudia and AJ- Charleston - 200,389 week 3 6. Louise and Kevin- Argentine Tango - 191,370 Week 7 7. Ed and Katya - Cha Cha - 156,531 - Week 6 8. Ed and Katya- Charleston - 150,220- Week 2 9. Danny and Oti - Paso Doble - 149,480 Week 3 10. Ed and Katya - Samba - 130,347 Week 3 Louise has made her first entry into the top 10 Ed has overtaken Danny for most dances in Top 10 (previously Danny with 3) Ed's Salsa last week has gone straight in at number 2 All remaining dancers have a top 10 dance except Greg and excluding Greg each of the other 6 dancers holds one of the top 6 places! Week 5 is the only week (excluding Blackpool) with no dances in the top 10 which follows what was said on here about how dull it was So much more open this year! |
|
|
|
|
|
#188 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 15,051
|
This is the Top 10 from last year after Blackpool - Originally posted by Strictly Red 24/11:
Top 10 most viewed on YouTube 1. Jay and Aliona, Jive, - 1,024,190 2. Peter and Janette, Charleston - 246,088 3. Georgia and Giovanni, Jive - 236,697 4. Jay and Aliona, Waltz, - 148,557 5. Jay and Aliona, Paso Doble - 136,910 6. Peter and Janette, Cha Cha - 134,565 7. Georgia and Giovanni, Samba - 126,707 8. Jay and Aliona, Cha Cha - 124,496 9. Georgia and Giovanni, Charleston - 123,226 10.Kellie and Kevin, Charleston - 112,748 So only 4/8 dancers appeared in the Top 10 by week 9, in comparison with 6/7 this year, which goes to show it's still pretty open, or no dancers (aart from Ed are massively capturing the audience) The views this year seem better than last year overall and last year was better than the year before so it's pretty clear that the Strictly Social Side has fully taken off now. |
|
|
|
|
|
#189 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 3,209
|
In a different vein, I just went on to Ultimate Strictly to look at the average scores of all the finalists so far and calculated this:
Up to series 13, there have been 41 finalists: 16 male finalists, 25 female finalists, 7 male winners, 6 female, av male finalist score: 33, av female finalist score: 34. Thus, once reaching the final- male dancers have fared better than female ones, even though worse on average technically. Male celebs make up 39% of the finalists and 54% of the winners. So- good news for Danny & Ore etc. Less so for Louise & Claudia... |
|
|
|
|
|
#190 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2015
Posts: 78
|
I think this is really interesting and thanks very much for all your hard work collating this. However, although this is a good sample and it appears to be fairly representative of the results so far, I think we shouldn't lose sight of the fact that many who enjoy Strictly in the TV never go and look again via any social media, yet may still pick up the phone for the final, so still all to play for!
|
|
|
|
|
|
#191 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 15,051
|
Quote:
I think this is really interesting and thanks very much for all your hard work collating this. However, although this is a good sample and it appears to be fairly representative of the results so far, I think we shouldn't lose sight of the fact that many who enjoy Strictly in the TV never go and look again via any social media, yet may still pick up the phone for the final, so still all to play for!
I'm still interested to see how it goes statswise because Strictly is being engaged with more and more so it wouldn't surprise me if we did get to a point (maybe not this series as it's more open than last year) where we can confidently predict the winner. |
|
|
|
|
|
#192 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 11,409
|
Quote:
Youtube Week 9: (last weeks Sat Night position in Brackets)
1.Danny & Oti - 1078 views 149 likes 6 dislikes (2) 2. Louise & Kevin 441 views 51 likes 12 dislikes (4) 3. Ore and Joanne - 440 views 26 likes 18 dislikes (5 4. Ed and Katya -369 views 28 likes 13 dislike (1) 5. Claudia & AJ -355 views 45 likes 6 dislikes (3)) 6.Greg and Natalie -350 views 29 likes 6 dislikes (6) 7. Robert and Oksanna - 264 views 29 likes 4 dislikes (7) So it looks like Robert and Greg from Youtube but my caveat is YT never seems to be as strong for the Judge and they also waited an extra 10 mins to upload his vid and most of the others are a few mins apart. I reckon Claudia and Greg for tonight! Think the judge may just escape |
|
|
|
|
#193 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 15,051
|
Facebook week 10:
Videos again! Ore and Joanne - 3.2k likes 112 shares ![]() Danny & Oti - 19k likes 1.7k shares ![]() Louise and Kevin 6.4k likes 231 shares ![]() Claudia & AJ - 6.5k likes 358 shares ![]() Robert and Oksanna - 1.7k likes 64 shares ![]() Ed & Katya 1.5K likes 75k shares ![]() Only Claudia and Danny up on last week. FB says Ed v Rinder. Can either escape? |
|
|
|
|
|
#194 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 589
|
Quote:
Facebook week 10:
Videos again! Ore and Joanne - 3.2k likes 112 shares ![]() Danny & Oti - 19k likes 1.7k shares ![]() Louise and Kevin 6.4k likes 231 shares ![]() Claudia & AJ - 6.5k likes 358 shares ![]() Robert and Oksanna - 1.7k likes 64 shares ![]() Ed & Katya 1.5K likes 75k shares ![]() Only Claudia and Danny up on last week. FB says Ed v Rinder. Can either escape? Interesting! This is what I am hoping for!!! |
|
|
|
|
|
#195 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 15,051
|
Twitter Week 10:
Louise and Kevin 478 likes 75 retweets ![]() Danny & Oti - 841 likes 184 retweets ![]() Robert and Oksanna - 226 likes 45 retweets ![]() Ed & Katya 424 likes 167 retweets (only slightly down)Claudia & AJ - 718 likes 120 retweets ![]() Ore & Joanne 323 likes 56 retweets ![]() Only Claudia and Ore have increased likes and rewteets on last week. However as usual Ed looks much safer on Twitter and it could be Ore and Rinder. |
|
|
|
|
|
#196 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 15,051
|
Youtube Week 10: (last weeks Sat Night position in Brackets)
1. Danny & Oti - 2163 views 304 likes 4 dislikes (1) 2. Claudia & AJ -924 views 118 likes 2 dislikes (5) 3. Ore and Joanne - 396 views 35 likes 18 dislikes (3) 4. Louise & Kevin 280 views 36 likes 4 dislikes (2) 5. Robert and Oksanna - 268 views 28 likes 3 dislikes (7) 6. Ed and Katya -203 views 20 likes 9 dislike (4) Ore always does better than votes would suggest on Youtube. Claudia and Danny look safe. Louise is safe due to leaderboard. so it's definitely between the three guys, but all 3 SM say something different. Based on Ed still being pretty popular on Twitter and his ballroom dances never getting many views week on week. Id say Ore and Rinder for the dance off. |
|
|
|
|
|
#197 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2013
Posts: 2,289
|
It's weird how Ore gets so much more dislikes than everybody else.
|
|
|
|
|
|
#198 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 871
|
Quote:
It's weird how Ore gets so much more dislikes than everybody else.
|
|
|
|
|
|
#199 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: Up the creek, no paddle.
Posts: 2,102
|
Quote:
They obviously don't like him, dunno why he seems a good dancer and a nice guy.
Any new stats out there? |
|
|
|
|
#200 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 2,430
|
Danny and Oti's Samba is the 3rd highest viewed video so far this year w/ 397,719 views - well deserved, it's a brilliant dance
|
|
|
|
![]() |
|
All times are GMT. The time now is 09:59.






but for the other spot it's very close between Ore, Claudia, Judge and Ed.
