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SNP Watch |
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#51 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Mar 2011
Posts: 6,332
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Quote:
The Scottish Government cautious figure was £6.8bn, whereas the OBR who had a history of overestimating had a figure of £3.2bn.
SNP told us they were using a cautious figure, if that was the case you would expect a figure of below £3.2bn to be used... |
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#52 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 2,997
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Quote:
The OBR had a reputation for massively underestimating the oil price.
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#53 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Mar 2011
Posts: 6,332
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Quote:
In their recent history??
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#54 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 2,997
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Quote:
They don't have a lengthy history but they have continually got it wrong despite their estimations having huge margins of error. They did overestimate oil value at the time of the collapse but when prices were higher they were underestimating them.
Quote:
What is clear, however is that past OBR forecasts of oil revenues have tended to be optimistic relative to the outcome
This is also interesting in this context... from Apr 2014.http://m.heraldscotland.com/news/131...nues_forecast/ Quote:
SNP MSP Jamie Hepburn asked Mr Chote if he accepted that the OBR's price for oil used in its predictions was pessimistic.
"I wouldn't have said so," Mr Chote said. |
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#55 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Scotlandshire
Posts: 9,078
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Quote:
A collapse that your first minister, who was an economist, did not foresee.
Also. To be clear. You're talking about Salmond and not our present First Minister. |
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#56 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 56,813
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Quote:
The major reason for nearly zero revenue from oil is due to desperate measures taken by Osborne in order to address the lack of investment. Even if the oil price hadn't crashed the revenue coming in would still be less than £100million. Not only that but part of the argument for an oil fund was to provide a bit of a buffer for exactly the kind of dip in oil prices we've seen before. This isn't the first time it's happened at the instigation of OPEC.
Also. To be clear. You're talking about Salmond and not our present First Minister. http://oilandgasuk.co.uk/key-facts.cfm |
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#57 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Not leaving the EU (quite yet)
Posts: 295
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Who cares?! Quote:
They have stolen mine and many others votes.
When I cast my vote for the UK to remain in the EU, I wasn't voting with a 2nd independence referendum in mind. |
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#58 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Scotlandshire
Posts: 9,078
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Quote:
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#59 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Mansfield
Posts: 27,507
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Someone retweeted this into my twitter timeline- with the amount of hate and abuse I've seen come from Scot Nats down the years I had to laugh out loud!
https://twitter.com/Jeggit/status/773086887858823168 Scottish nationalism has done a good enough job of making Scots hate EACH OTHER, let alone anyone else. |
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#60 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 2,997
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Worth a watch, John Swinney explaining the difference between a test and an Assessment
![]() https://twitter.com/DrScottThinks/st...04570630361092 |
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#61 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Scotlandshire
Posts: 9,078
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Quote:
Worth a watch, John Swinney explaining the difference between a test and an Assessment
![]() https://twitter.com/DrScottThinks/st...04570630361092 That said, anyone involved in risk assessment might have a handle on the difference. An assessment is an evaluation of potential and capability. In Risk assessment you note something is flammable or might break. You don't actually perform a test to confirm it. In the same way an assessment of a pupils ability would be based on the teachers experience of their classwork rather than a formal test. Assessing the progress of those under their charge is something that any competent teacher would be doing in the first place. |
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#62 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 2,997
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Quote:
Must have missed it. There's someone from RISE who isn't actually introduced as such criticising the SNP.
That said, anyone involved in risk assessment might have a handle on the difference. An assessment is an evaluation of potential and capability. In Risk assessment you note something is flammable or might break. You don't actually perform a test to confirm it. In the same way an assessment of a pupils ability would be based on the teachers experience of their classwork rather than a formal test. Assessing the progress of those under their charge is something that any competent teacher would be doing in the first place. SNP reprofiling tests as assessments is a marketing exercise... |
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#63 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Scotlandshire
Posts: 9,078
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Quote:
if you're going to ask kids questions and then
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#64 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 2,997
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Quote:
Do you know that they are?
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/poli...or-pupils.html |
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#65 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 56,813
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Quote:
Near zero as being reported by the BBC. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotlan...itics-35757787 despite which the deficit has barely moved.
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#66 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 2,997
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Quote:
Has BBC Scotland ever quoted facts and figures from UK Oil and Gas?
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#67 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Scotlandshire
Posts: 9,078
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Quote:
Ms Sturgeon said “teacher judgment lies at the heart of the system” and they would use “a range of assessment approaches”. She has expressed opposition to formal exams for 11-year-olds, as exist in England. Not really. Or at least not the kind of testing teachers are opposed to. Funny how the one quote from Sturgeon contradicts the entirety of the article. |
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#68 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 2,997
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Quote:
Ms Sturgeon said “teacher judgment lies at the heart of the system” and they would use “a range of assessment approaches”. She has expressed opposition to formal exams for 11-year-olds, as exist in England. Not really. Or at least not the kind of testing teachers are opposed to. Funny how the one quote from Sturgeon contradicts the entirety of the article. |
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#69 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 15,119
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Scottish Schools already test children regularly and at secondary lever it was near universal that schools made pupils sit in house exams at age 14, those exams determined the stream you were put into for progressing towards Standard Grades. If you performed poorly youd be put into a foundation/general stream, well into general/credit.
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#70 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 56,813
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Quote:
Have they ever found your secret oil fields
![]() https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HDpv4SqhKXg |
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#71 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 2,997
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Quote:
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#72 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 56,813
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Quote:
Given this was published before the last ref, it was hardly a secret...
400 million has already be recovered since 1998, and they now estimate there is another 500 million to be recovered. that represents a near 1 billion barrel oil field. It demonstrates the potential for several similar size fields.. I notice the UK government's current offshore licensing round is offering blocks in the area https://www.gov.uk/government/news/o...icensing-round |
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#73 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Norwich
Posts: 7,788
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"Her (Sturgeon's) decision to pull back from staging a snap vote followed polling showing Scots did not want another referendum and would vote No again, and dire figures showing Scotland has a higher spending deficit than even Greece"
The Telegraph |
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#74 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 2,997
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Quote:
"Her (Sturgeon's) decision to pull back from staging a snap vote followed polling showing Scots did not want another referendum and would vote No again, and dire figures showing Scotland has a higher spending deficit than even Greece"
The Telegraph Crying wolf with independence for her core independence supporters may keep on the side, but I think it's turning the rest off... I hear the fact the new iPhone doesn't have a earphone jack is now a trigger for independence... |
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#75 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Mar 2011
Posts: 6,332
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Quote:
I'm not convinced Sturgeon has handled the EU referendum result particularly well. She obviously hoped/expected the polls to show a change after the leave vote and apart from a slight changed immediately after, they're pretty much where they were before
Crying wolf with independence for her core independence supporters may keep on the side, but I think it's turning the rest off... I hear the fact the new iPhone doesn't have a earphone jack is now a trigger for independence... |
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