Originally Posted by Jim_McIntosh:
“Consultation, and results released next week. My guess is a proviso - unless we end up with these EU conditions retained (i.e. soft Brexit) then we will seek to put forward an independence referendum thereafter and probably conditional on them being voted in again with that on their manifesto. My guess. Anyone else hazard a guess?”
“Consultation, and results released next week. My guess is a proviso - unless we end up with these EU conditions retained (i.e. soft Brexit) then we will seek to put forward an independence referendum thereafter and probably conditional on them being voted in again with that on their manifesto. My guess. Anyone else hazard a guess?”
My prediction would be agitation for another two years at least, continued drive towards creating a division between Scotland and England on every issue possible and making this distinction especially in Westminster.
At the same time a realisation that right now they need Barnett and so although they will drive towards more powers when they return from the EU post Brexit they won't drive towards a situation like FFA.
Politically they will want to have a majority in Parliament in favour of independence but will have difficulty getting the Greens on board who may make some pretty demanding conditions for their support.
They will also continue to deflect from Scottish domestic policies because once again they might not be able to get their policies through and will be cautious of support from the Tories on certain policies as they had in the 2007 parliament.
It is by no means an easy or simple political road for the SNP and I honestly can't see the leadership risking losing their tight control of the party by thinking about another Indy ref before the early 2020's. If they do, then Mr and Mrs Murrel will disappear as quick as Mr Cameron di because it will almost certainly be lost.



