From the FAQs on the YouGov website

It's the domain extension - .gov.uk - which denotes a government body.

Ok thanks.

That's correct. The website of the government (doesn't matter of which political persuasion) is https://www.gov.uk/ and can be used to access all sorts of information about how the government works and so on.

YouGov is a much-respected polling organisation and can be seen at this website https://yougov.co.uk/.

The two are definitely NOT the same thing and are in no way related although I'd be surprised if YouGov haven't undertaken polling research for governments of all sorts.

I declare an interest in that I'm a member of YouGov's polling panels, something which I'd recommend to those with a few minutes a week take part in.

Week 7 update: Strictly: the race for fourth

Ore's dipped a bit this week on both most-likely-to-win and most-want-to-win polls but he still looks like the man to beat.

Danny's now fallen behind Rinder in the 'Who do you want to win?' stakes. So much for him needing mistakes to gain support!

Yeah that looks bad for Ore on the surface, but going back to what I said about dedicated vs casual viewers, he still seems to have a hefty lead with the former. Looking at the age and gender breakdowns as well it appears that Louise has the very definition of the "dad vote".

Not at all a surprise to see Charleston and Jive as the most popular dances and rumba as the least either, although there's more of a spread than I thought there would be.

Relieved it isn't a bigger dip for Ore after the Halloween thing.

Rinder's position is rather perplexing for me (but that's after seeing a bit of his show, I guess). Richard Osman's thoughts on ITT yesterday may be right. He's not just a comedy contestant, nor just an able dancer. It's not quite that he's the ideal in either category, but he has two kinds of appeal.

Still a much more open contest than last year.

NB and slightly off topic, I wonder why we have James Jordan talking about the BBC 'pushing' for an Ore win when Jo and Ore seem already to be one of the front-runners. 'Pushing' sounds more like them attempting to stage-manage an impetus that doesn't exist... or maybe I'm over-analysing the inside of James' brain

If Robert picks up momentum, then sure to get to the final.

How interesting thanks fore this. The support for Louise is surprising as is Judge Rinder being more popular then Danny. The latter badly needs a very good Jive tonight.

Week 8 update: Louise’s good week boosts chances

Well I was hoping for some kind of explanation to be offered as to why, if so many want him to win, Ore found himself in the B2 last week. I mean he's still polling 2nd behind new leader Louise. "Ore’s descent into the bottom two shows that the competition is getting to the stage where no one is safe." doesn't really cut it. 😄

I don't think it's accurate reflection of voting result.

Managed to miss this update and the thread had slid to page 4.

Dunno whether fully accurate as a predictor but the stats are still interesting. I'm really surprised not to see Claudia figuring amongst the favourites.

The biggest difference with DS polls looks like YouGov's Want to Win graph. Ore is in second place there despite that week's B2, with Louise in first place; Danny is in fourth, and Rinder third. Whereas I guess DS would probably Think ie fear that Louise will win and have Danny top of the Want to Win poll.

Danny is at the top of the Think they'll Win graph, despite being just fourth in the Wanted figures.

Very odd inversion of DS, but in both sets of figures, folk have the same tendency to expect the one they like less well to fare better in the competition. Kant was wrong. I know it's too late to tell him. But, Immanuel, your Critique on Aesthetic Judgement were out, mate. (Apparently. According to this polling org and DS. But I still back you.)

Maybe it'll have changed after last week.

My suspicion is that, like most other mass polls of this sort, this is a load of @rse.

No update this week as far as I can see. 😕

I love you! I knew Kant was wrong many moons ago.

Here is a link to the latest YouGov poll

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.ne...tlyMerge_W.pdf

Louise still leading in the 'who would you like to win' question, and Danny still leading in the 'who do you think will win' question.

Perhaps surprisingly, more people preferred Louise's American Smooth over Danny's Argentine Tango.

A question on Ed Balls, shows that the panel are pretty much equally split on whether he deserves to have got this far.

Well found. 👍🏻

Could Louise be our first 40+ winner?

Interesting. I think Ed is increasingly a Marmite character and the divided feeling on whether he deserves to get this far and his middle rankings in this survey in the different categories appear to confirm my suspicions: that he is not in the top 2 in the public vote. I put him as third most popular maximum. He is tantalisingly close to being in the dance off. He may escape by the skin of his teeth for another week or so, but his Dance Off experience is definitely coming.

Here is a link to this week's data

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.ne...5_strictly.pdf

Louise keeps her lead over Danny in the 'who do you want to win' question. Danny has extended his lead in the 'who do you think will win' question.

Really interesting information. Not noticed this thread before. I will be checking it weekly until the final !

YouGov has finally released the poll data for their survey that they completed after Week 10:

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.ne...tlyMerge_W.pdf

Louise is still ahead in the "who do you want to win?" poll but the gap has closed between her and Danny from 7% to only 2%. Danny's lead has again grown in the "who do you think will win?" poll.

I find it interesting that Claudia's percentage is that low. Are they massively underestimating her/asking an unrepresentative sample or is her support less than we think? This data was collected before last week's show though. Did her salsa sway a huge section of the voting audience?

Thanks for sharing.

If people think that Danny will win, they may not vote because they think that others will do so even though they like him. It's like how people don't vote for celebrities that they think are safe. I have never understood that mentality.

Im not sure what area of britain they are asking lol

BIG LAUGH AT THIS ONE...

69% - NO, I didn't watch any of it.