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Guardian: EU agrees to push UK into Hard Brexit
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andykn
23-11-2016
Originally Posted by Steve_Holmes:
“Maybe you should attempt to prove that claim ......even though you are not used to doing that..”

Er, read the post it was in reply to.
Quote:
“Declining economies are frequently reflected by declining GDP growth.......perpaps you could illustrate your claim with some historical statistics.
Clearly, the opportunity to join a tariff free trade group is likely to further improve a country's economic situation anyway - but I haven't seen any evidence from yourself that the UK's economy was in decline prior to joining the EEC --- and in any event, what economic advantage is to be gained by joining a Political Union???”

Sorry who said the UK's economy was in decline?
andykn
23-11-2016
Originally Posted by allaorta:
“The simple fact is, forgetting all your waffling excuses that those bad things have happened since we joined.

I've told you why we were declining before the EEC and the reasons we have continued to decline are the same as those before we joined. The main difference is we now have nowhere to run except to pull out, something that should never have happened because we should never have joined.

Here we are, sixty years on, and the EU has far from got any act together other than control.”

We haven't "continued to decline". Our relative position in the world was 6th when we joined and 5th when you voted us out. No decline there.
andykn
23-11-2016
Originally Posted by John146:
“Steve, this may be a red herring, but as far as I can see trade with the EU is certainly not growing:

As the UK marches towards a referendum on its EU membership, the nation's statisticians have taken a closer look at the bloc's importance to trade.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) has released a bulletin on UK-EU trade, in the same month as trade figures show that British reliance on trade with the EU has fallen to an all-time low.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/e...ee-charts.html”

Trade with the EU is growing, just not as fast as it is with non EU countries, which includes developing economies and places like the BRICs.
allaorta
23-11-2016
Originally Posted by andykn:
“We haven't "continued to decline". Our relative position in the world was 6th when we joined and 5th when you voted us out. No decline there.”

You mean like a horse coming 6th against the same horses, time after time, yet losing by ever increasing margins. Move away from the idea that world trading position is that important even though we're trillions in debt.
andykn
23-11-2016
Originally Posted by Thor_Noggsson:
“I may be wrong on this but it seems that whilst the EUs economy has grown in monetary terms its percentage share of the world market as declined (From 30% in 1980 to about 14% in 2014).
So it has become a less important market on the world stage because the rest of the worlds monetary value has grown faster than the EUs.
So it makes sense to focus more on the developing markets does it not?”

But not by abandoning out biggest, We are exploiting developing markets quite well from within the EU anyway. No-one can tell me how leaving helps with developing markets, what can we export more of to where once outside the EU.
allaorta
23-11-2016
Originally Posted by andykn:
“But not by abandoning out biggest, We are exploiting developing markets quite well from within the EU anyway. No-one can tell me how leaving helps with developing markets, what can we export more of to where once outside the EU.”

Abandoning, does that mean we'll never trade with Europe again?
andykn
23-11-2016
Originally Posted by Steve_Holmes:
“What can't we export? Neither YOU, nor I know the basis of trade subsequent to Brexit - nor, what trade deals will be agreed with non-EU countries, but if only WTO terms are established with the EU, then the answer is clearly whatever we can buy or sell cheaper elsewhere.......we are doing most of that now in case you hadn't noticed!!”

Er, yes, so what's the benefit in leaving?
Quote:
“Yes they do - but that isn't a problem, as it will still be 'CONTROLLED'.
That is the key word that you Bremainers just do not understand - and of course, we wouldn't be required to join a Political Union in order to trade with them - nor pay a fee for that privilege.
So - yet again, why should the UK have to pay a fee in order to benefit from trade with Europe, OR, join a Political Union?”

Because the single market brings benefits and has costs. This has been gone over many times, you may think the benefits aren't worth the cost. But no-one has yet been able to point to anything we can export more of outside the EU to make up for inhibited trade to the EU. Waffling about imaginary trade deals is just hopeless. How do you know there's anything at all we could possibly export more of?
andykn
23-11-2016
Originally Posted by Steve_Holmes:
“Then as I requested - as YOU continue to repeat the UK's economic decline prior to joining the EEC as factual, then , YOU provide the evidence for that. From what I can ascertain, as I have illustrated, we were continually growing annually in GDP prior to joining the EEC”

Read my posts again, I was talking about relative size, not absolute.
andykn
23-11-2016
Originally Posted by allaorta:
“You mean like a horse coming 6th against the same horses, time after time, yet losing by ever increasing margins. Move away from the idea that world trading position is that important even though we're trillions in debt.”

OK, so what country can we be more like if we leave the EU and how?

You can ignore Hammond's most recent prediction of an extra 122bn being added to debt if you prefer.
allaorta
23-11-2016
Originally Posted by andykn:
“OK, so what country can we be more like if we leave the EU and how?

You can ignore Hammond's most recent prediction of an extra 122bn being added to debt if you prefer.”

I can ignore it because it's unlikely to be true.

And I don't want to be more like another country.
Kiteview
23-11-2016
Originally Posted by allaorta:
“You mean like a horse coming 6th against the same horses, time after time, yet losing by ever increasing margins. Move away from the idea that world trading position is that important even though we're trillions in debt.”

We're trillions in debt because we are choosing to borrow. And, to cushion the economic shock of Brexit, we are INCREASING our rate of borrowing. Adding more debt on the national "credit card" will neither make us richer nor will it allow us to maintain our current standard of wealth. Were that the case then Greece would be the richest country in Europe.
Phil 2804
23-11-2016
Originally Posted by Kiteview:
“We're trillions in debt because we are choosing to borrow. And, to cushion the economic shock of Brexit, we are INCREASING our rate of borrowing. Adding more debt on the national "credit card" will neither make us richer nor will it allow us to maintain our current standard of wealth. Were that the case then Greece would be the richest country in Europe. ”

Germany ran a budget deficit every year from 1969 to 2015, in fact it was the first country to breach Eurozone borrowing rules. Even the UK has a better borrowing record than that, much better. The UK will get back to surplus, when it suits the economy to do so.
Steve_Holmes
23-11-2016
Originally Posted by andykn:
“But it's not declining in value, it's increasing in value, just not as fast as the group containing more developing countries like China.”

You aren't very good with words are you? As I have patiently explained to you, UK trade with the EU HAS increased in volume, ( and monetary terms), but not UK/EU PORTION of the UK's total trade - which HAS declined, and THAT really does mean that its 'value' to the UK has reduced - and I would point out that a definition of 'value' is - the regard that something is held to deserve; the importance, worth, or usefulness of something. In other words - 'value' is not merely a monetary factor.
Steve_Holmes
23-11-2016
Originally Posted by andykn:
“Er, read the post it was in reply to”

. Er -I have - and it didn't do what you claimed it did - which is why | asked you to support your assertion , (for a change).
Quote:
“Sorry who said the UK's economy was in decline?”

Er - you did, - "Because we'd dropped to 4th from 1st preceding that. It was only when we joined that the declining trend was halted- so perhaps you could now provide the statistics to support that.
Steve_Holmes
23-11-2016
Originally Posted by Kiteview:
“The EU is a union of sovereign nations. It isn't a "Political Union" - whatever that is supposed to either be or do.

The only sense that it is "political" is that its members pursue certain goals in common with each other - and that charge can be just as easily levied at EFTA, NATO, the WTO or any other international organisation. Countries don't just found international organisations without them sharing a political vision of what they are trying to achieve.”

You are demonstrating abject ignorance if you don't realise that both having another Parliament, and 'rule' making executive, (unelected) is not a Political association!!
Those entities which you quote are concerned with operating rules within their organisations - and do not endeavour to interfere with the 'governance' of the UK.
To claim that EU nations are Sovereign is the height of ignorance. No nation that has to incorporate legislation required to cater with 'ideas'[ dreamt up by an unelected cabal can be deemed to be 'sovereign'
Now, I'll ask yet again - why is it necessary to have another Parliament , or political union to derive economic growth from trade???
Steve_Holmes
23-11-2016
Originally Posted by Kiteview:
“We're trillions in debt because we are choosing to borrow. And, to cushion the economic shock of Brexit, we are INCREASING our rate of borrowing. Adding more debt on the national "credit card" will neither make us richer nor will it allow us to maintain our current standard of wealth. Were that the case then Greece would be the richest country in Europe. ”

How do you think we racked up such a huge national debt ?? When was a UK government last able to run the country within it's raised revenue??

It's all very well claiming that the UK has the 4th/5th/6th or whatever economy ranking in the world - but a more realistic assessment is the GDP per capita ranking - and on that basis, we are 21st in the world. http://statisticstimes.com/economy/c...gdp-capita.php

And that is despite the so called advantage of being in the EU!!

UK governments, whether Tory Labour or a Coalition, have undoubtedly lost the ability to govern within its means - and the latest regime is no different - such that in or out of the EU, the UK will undoubtedly continue to add to it's overall debt.
One major reason for this of course, the millstone around all UK governments neck, is the servicing cost of our huge borrowed total - which is running at over £1 biiiion per WEEK!! Even saving our EU subsidy wouldn't put much of a dent in that amount - which is worsening year by year. Clearly this cannot be allowed to continue .....but there is no sign of addressing this ridiculous wastage of over £1 billion per week .
OK - so the deficit is apparently being reduced - but just eliminating the deficit will not solve the ever growing debt problem, of servicing this ridiculously high level of wasted resource.
It would appear somewhat stupid however, in view of our extreme financial situation, to continue to subsidise the EU, and to wastefully provide overseas aid, sometimes to countries richer than ourselves.
yes, we are morally obliged to help the more unfortunate nations - nut why not provide such aid by using British companies to build hospitals, schools etc -so that we can still be generous to the less fortunate, but aid our own economy in the process.
Steve_Holmes
23-11-2016
Originally Posted by andykn:
“Er, yes, so what's the benefit in leaving?”

As has been pointed out to you countless times, we will be able to agree our own trading deals, with our own interests uppermost - unlike the current situation - and without requiring to be a member of an undemocratic political union, an actually have to increase our national debt in order to subsidise it.


Quote:
“Because the single market brings benefits and has costs.”

'And the costs clearly outweigh the benefits wrt the taxpayer. Of course Businesses dealing with Europe benefit, as a result of the taxpayer paying the bill for tariff free access - yet those businesses which don't deal with the EU, ( the vast majority), get saddled with unnecessary regulations.
Quote:
“This has been gone over many times, you may think the benefits aren't worth the cost. But no-one has yet been able to point to anything we can export more of outside the EU to make up for inhibited trade to the EU. Waffling about imaginary trade deals is just hopeless. How do you know there's anything at all we could possibly export more of?”

There is no benefit derived by the majority of the people from membership of the EU - which is why the referendum result was what it was. other than that most important of factors, of facilitating the taking of EU holidays.
You keep bleating on asininely , about what products could be more easily exported outside of the EU - and clearly the answer is MORE of ALL of them - because the 'market outside of the EU is much greater, as is the potential for the UK to make it's own preferential trade agreements.
mRebel
23-11-2016
Originally Posted by Eurostar:
“That is exactly the case. You cannot negotiate new trade deals while you are still in the EU, you can only do so after you have left ie. at the end of the process.

But in any event, why would they do anything to 'help' countries leave the union and make it as easy as possible? That would be a recipe for disaster.”

So the EU isn't an association of free nations freely choosing to act together? Well, Juncker has called us 'deserters'.
mRebel
24-11-2016
Originally Posted by Blairdennon:
“Largely because their own charter has the following
'Conscious of its spiritual and moral heritage, the Union is founded on the indivisible, universal values of human dignity, freedom, equality and solidarity; it is based on the principles of democracy and the rule of law. It places the individual at the heart of its activities, by establishing the citizenship of the Union and by creating an area of freedom, security and justice.'
.”

I just read of the increase in homelessness in Ireland, of the deaths caused by cuts to it's health service, and more hardship. Ireland is short of cash, but still, every month, it pays money, with interest, to investors who bought bonds in Ireland's banks, because the EU ordered it to. Those investors, to give two typical examples, are Barclay's Wealth Management and the Rothschild family.
And Ireland is just one case of a country where to many the EU Charter will be a sick joke.
andykn
24-11-2016
Originally Posted by allaorta:
“Abandoning, does that mean we'll never trade with Europe again?”

No, it doesn't. Nor does it mean there will magically be anywhere we can export more of anything to either.
mRebel
24-11-2016
Originally Posted by andykn:
“OK, so what country can we be more like if we leave the EU and how?

You can ignore Hammond's most recent prediction of an extra 122bn being added to debt if you prefer.”

I prefer to ignore all forecasts by economic 'experts. because they so rarely get it right.
andykn
24-11-2016
Originally Posted by mRebel:
“I prefer to ignore all forecasts by economic 'experts. because they so rarely get it right.”

Whose forecast do you prefer?
andykn
24-11-2016
Originally Posted by allaorta:
“I can ignore it because it's unlikely to be true.”

And what leads you to that conclusion? What do you think the deficit will be over the next few years and why.
andykn
24-11-2016
Originally Posted by Steve_Holmes:
“You aren't very good with words are you? As I have patiently explained to you, UK trade with the EU HAS increased in volume, ( and monetary terms), but not UK/EU PORTION of the UK's total trade - which HAS declined, and THAT really does mean that its 'value' to the UK has reduced - and I would point out that a definition of 'value' is - the regard that something is held to deserve; the importance, worth, or usefulness of something. In other words - 'value' is not merely a monetary factor.”

You can distort the English language all you wish; to try and use it that way in that context is misleading, especially if you don't explicitly state "value to the UK".
andykn
24-11-2016
Originally Posted by Steve_Holmes:
“. Er -I have - and it didn't do what you claimed it did - which is why | asked you to support your assertion , (for a change).”

It did.
Quote:
“Er - you did, - "Because we'd dropped to 4th from 1st preceding that. It was only when we joined that the declining trend was halted-”

Yes, the declining trend was in our position relative to other countries, not our absolute GDP; I've explained this twice now, do you not even understand the difference between relative and absolute?
Quote:
“ so perhaps you could now provide the statistics to support that.”

See jmclaugh's post.
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