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Current odds suggest
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philltee
29-11-2016
Only Danny or Louise have any real chance of winning. Based on this forum and other social media, Louise seems one of the last favourite remaining contestants.

Is Danny the only winner possible at this stage, or could Claudia still come through over the next 3 weeks? Dannys odds are currently 1.74, Louise 3.25 then claudia 14!
edy10
29-11-2016
Anything could always happen in the finals; I dont know why some people seem sure of a Danny win ( there is still the ringer talk hanging like a cloud over his head; some people still cant see past that). On the contrary , Claudia and the judge have a better chance of winning imo; especially Claudia. As far as Louise is concerned, I really dont see it but then again like I said, anything can happen.

This is how I would currently rank their odds :

Danny-Claudia equal odds
The judge
Ore-Louise

Imo Claudia is Danny's biggest thread; I have noticed how a lot of people have rallied towards her recently, especially after last week.
yohinnchild
29-11-2016
I do think Danny kind of has this in the bag; although the run of 40's may mean he's peaking now... but I think he'll manage to pull it off.

Claudia... I'm a fan and she seems popular, but I don't know if she'll be able to beat judges faves Louise and Ore.

Rinder I think will be out this week - he is probably guaranteed bottom spot by the judges and I just think he's had his time now and will probably end up bottom 2 again.

I hope Claudia gets to the final though
Dervlathedog
29-11-2016
I think I'll be happy with this year if just one of the ringers doesn't make the final. There are still three dance beginners left to muscle one out of it. Not quite sure how either Danny or Louise can be made to leave at this stage but... please go! Two ringers in a three-person final is too much.
alliea_2
29-11-2016
I think the Ed Balls vote will most likely go to Judge Rinder and Claudia. If that's right, there is a possibility of either Danny or Louise being in a bottom two with Ore for the quarter-finals, with Ore going.

I'd like to see both the Judge and Claudia in the finals, but one or other seems more likely.
Dervlathedog
29-11-2016
Originally Posted by alliea_2:
“I think the Ed Balls vote will most likely go to Judge Rinder and Claudia. If that's right, there is a possibility of either Danny or Louise being in a bottom two with Ore for the quarter-finals, with Ore going.

I'd like to see both the Judge and Claudia in the finals, but one or other seems more likely.”

I'd love an Ore, Judge, Claudia final! The three novices...

I know Danny and Louise are good, but so is Vincent Simone who joked that he should enter now more training is allowed
james_von05
29-11-2016
If the top 2 are Danny and Claudia this weekend... and the judge do a good routine... we might have Ore and Louise bottom 2.

But knowing the judges... they gonna make sure Louise finishes at least 2nd.
GoinGaga
29-11-2016
Originally Posted by yohinnchild:
“I do think Danny kind of has this in the bag; although the run of 40's may mean he's peaking now... but I think he'll manage to pull it off.

Claudia... I'm a fan and she seems popular, but I don't know if she'll be able to beat judges faves Louise and Ore.

Rinder I think will be out this week - he is probably guaranteed bottom spot by the judges and I just think he's had his time now and will probably end up bottom 2 again.

I hope Claudia gets to the final though ”

Agree with all of the above. I find it hard to see past a Danny win. After his samba I did think to myself that he could have just sealed the win there and then. I don't see Louise as a threat at all. I think she'll make the final but I can't see how she could possibly get more votes than Danny considering she has the "ringer" tag as does he, so no advantage for her there at all.

I think if Claudia can make the final she's Danny's biggest threat but it's touch and go for her. I think if she ends up in the D/O against anyone other than Judge Rinder they'll send her home unless one of the judges' favourites goes horribly wrong.
jtnorth
29-11-2016
Originally Posted by philltee:
“Only Danny or Louise have any real chance of winning. Based on this forum and other social media, Louise seems one of the last favourite remaining contestants.

Is Danny the only winner possible at this stage, or could Claudia still come through over the next 3 weeks? Dannys odds are currently 1.74, Louise 3.25 then claudia 14!”

This board isn't a guide to Louise's chances. This board would have told you Chelsee was going to beat Harry (I think, I haven't gone back and checked) or at least that it was close, and that Tom would have no chance and I don't think you'd have banked on Abbey at this stage or Caroline either. Louise is getting very little personal dislike compared to Denise or other pop stars, say Emma Bunton for one, and the Kevin thing on here doesn't matter to most people voting. Louise has got a great chance. Has anyone called Louise 'too good' on ITT? Like Danny is called every week?

I think if we get a Danny, Louise and Ore final, I think Louise could easily win as the compromise candidate because Danny is seen as too trained and I don't think Ore is good enough. It depends on the dances, etc. I think that Danny is the most likely winner but if the final panned out for Louise as it did for Kellie last year I don't think Danny is as unreachable as Jay was - no comment on their dancing ability.

(Though of course a Danny, Louise and Ore final splits the Cliftons supporters, if that is a factor, I don't know.)

If it's Danny, Louise and Claudia, I think a Danny win is more likely but who knows. I don't believe the Judge can get there now but we'll see...
vald
29-11-2016
Originally Posted by alliea_2:
“I think the Ed Balls vote will most likely go to Judge Rinder and Claudia. If that's right, there is a possibility of either Danny or Louise being in a bottom two with Ore for the quarter-finals, with Ore going.

I'd like to see both the Judge and Claudia in the finals, but one or other seems more likely.”

My Ed vote will go to Ore I would never consider voting for Rob.
Monkseal
29-11-2016
Originally Posted by jtnorth:
“This board isn't a guide to Louise's chances. This board would have told you Chelsee was going to beat Harry (I think, I haven't gone back and checked) or at least that it was close, and that Tom would have no chance and I don't think you'd have banked on Abbey at this stage or Caroline either. Louise is getting very little personal dislike compared to Denise or other pop stars, say Emma Bunton for one, and the Kevin thing on here doesn't matter to most people voting. Louise has got a great chance. Has anyone called Louise 'too good' on ITT? Like Danny is called every week?

I think if we get a Danny, Louise and Ore final, I think Louise could easily win as the compromise candidate because Danny is seen as too trained and I don't think Ore is good enough. It depends on the dances, etc. I think that Danny is the most likely winner but if the final panned out for Louise as it did for Kellie last year I don't think Danny is as unreachable as Jay was - no comment on their dancing ability.

(Though of course a Danny, Louise and Ore final splits the Cliftons supporters, if that is a factor, I don't know.)

If it's Danny, Louise and Claudia, I think a Danny win is more likely but who knows. I don't believe the Judge can get there now but we'll see...”

Amusingly (ish), I had a look back and this is the forum poll for Top 5 in Series 6. Where are all those proud Lisa fans now eh?
Bedlam_maid
29-11-2016
Originally Posted by philltee:
“Only Danny or Louise have any real chance of winning. Based on this forum and other social media, Louise seems one of the last favourite remaining contestants.

Is Danny the only winner possible at this stage, or could Claudia still come through over the next 3 weeks? Dannys odds are currently 1.74, Louise 3.25 then claudia 14!”

The two biggest ringers in the top two, that makes sense

I would love to see Ore win and I think he'll be getting my votes from now on. I would love to see a complete non-dancer win over Danny and Louise.
Lola the cat
29-11-2016
Straw poll at work, so not very scientific. I can't actually find anyone who wants either Danny or Louise to win. Comments are the standard "he came in at too high a level", "she has no personality and I can't stand her partner" etc etc. Vast majority of 6 people asked (see very scientific) had wanted Ed to win, as he is now out my random sample of accountants want either Rinder or Claudia to win. Obviously some of these may be the dreaded silent voter, saying "vote Trump no way" and then silently voting for him
RichmondBlue
29-11-2016
Originally Posted by philltee:
“Only Danny or Louise have any real chance of winning. Based on this forum and other social media, Louise seems one of the last favourite remaining contestants.

Is Danny the only winner possible at this stage, or could Claudia still come through over the next 3 weeks? Dannys odds are currently 1.74, Louise 3.25 then claudia 14!”

The bookies odds just reflect the money wagered. But you're right, the betting community appear to think it's a two horse race.
I'm a little surprised that Danny is not an even stronger favourite, currently available at 4/5. There must have been money for Louise to bring her in to 2/1.
Claudia is at 12/1, Ore at 14/1 and Robert is the complete outsider at 66/1. Fans of Claudia can even get 4/1 against her being top woman, Louise is 2/11 !
I'd say that Danny and Louise are certainties for the final. Robert would have to avoid the bottom 2 which is unlikely, he's toast. Then it's a close call between Claudia and Ore for the third place in the final.
In the final there will be a lot more floating voters, so it's possible there could be a surprise. But when it comes to "wow" dances Danny has more up his sleeve. I don't think there is anything like the concern about "ringers" among the GBP. So I'd say Danny will end up with the prize, with Louise second.
james_von05
29-11-2016
Originally Posted by RichmondBlue:
“The bookies odds just reflect the money wagered. But you're right, the betting community appear to think it's a two horse race.
I'm a little surprised that Danny is not an even stronger favourite, currently available at 4/5. There must have been money for Louise to bring her in to 2/1.
Claudia is at 12/1, Ore at 14/1 and Robert is the complete outsider at 66/1. Fans of Claudia can even get 4/1 against her being top woman, Louise is 2/11 !
I'd say that Danny and Louise are certainties for the final. Robert would have to avoid the bottom 2 which is unlikely, he's toast. Then it's a close call between Claudia and Ore for the third place in the final.
In the final there will be a lot more floating voters, so it's possible there could be a surprise. But when it comes to "wow" dances Danny has more up his sleeve. I don't think there is anything like the concern about "ringers" among the GBP. So I'd say Danny will end up with the prize, with Louise second.”

Claudia got more wow factor in her dance... I strongly believe She just need to reach that final and do acrobatic show dance and she can win it all.
RichmondBlue
29-11-2016
Originally Posted by Lola the cat:
“Straw poll at work, so not very scientific. I can't actually find anyone who wants either Danny or Louise to win. Comments are the standard "he came in at too high a level", "she has no personality and I can't stand her partner" etc etc. Vast majority of 6 people asked (see very scientific) had wanted Ed to win, as he is now out my random sample of accountants want either Rinder or Claudia to win. Obviously some of these may be the dreaded silent voter, saying "vote Trump no way" and then silently voting for him ”

Well, as accountants they will know that there's some decent money to be made if their favourites come in. I don't think Rinder has any earthly chance, but a tenner at 66/1 would give a nice little bit extra for Christmas.
RichmondBlue
29-11-2016
Originally Posted by james_von05:
“Claudia got more wow factor in her dance... I strongly believe She just need to reach that final and do acrobatic show dance and she can win it all.”

I'm no big fan of Claudia. But I actually think 4/1 against her finishing above Louise is not a bad bet. But I still think Danny has too much in his locker to lose it now.
vald
29-11-2016
Originally Posted by james_von05:
“Claudia got more wow factor in her dance... I strongly believe She just need to reach that final and do acrobatic show dance and she can win it all.”

She hasn't wowed me yet although a couple of her dances have been pleasing. The gymnastics have been impressive but then I'd expect that from an Olympic gymnast.
davegold
29-11-2016
The problem with betting on Ore, Claudia, and Rinder is that they have to survive the quarter-final and sem-final before the final. One bad dance, or even one merely good dance, could see them lose votes and go out in the dance off. Danny and Louise are so consistent (because they are real dancers) that it is hard to see them having that bad performance on the main show and repeated in the dance off.
gorlagon
29-11-2016
Going by general chat in the street, I don't think Ore can win. He's just seen as too needy. I don't think Judge Rinder is quite good enough to get the votes to win either. He's lovely and all but he is quite a bit behind the others and he hasn't got the momentum of someone like the Dancing Wardrobe. I think Claudia is in with an outside chance.

But between Danny and Louise? Who knows?
boab34
29-11-2016
I'm not a big Louise fan but I think she's more popular with viewers than on this forum

My niece who volunteers at a local tearoom told me that all the ladies there prefer Louise over Danny
alliea_2
29-11-2016
Originally Posted by davegold:
“The problem with betting on Ore, Claudia, and Rinder is that they have to survive the quarter-final and sem-final before the final. One bad dance, or even one merely good dance, could see them lose votes and go out in the dance off. Danny and Louise are so consistent (because they are trained [/real] dancers) that it is hard to see them having that bad performance on the main show and repeated in the dance off.”

Fixed that for you.
Gill P
29-11-2016
Originally Posted by boab34:
“I'm not a big Louise fan but I think she's more popular with viewers than on this forum

My niece who volunteers at a local tearoom told me that all the ladies there prefer Louise over Danny ”

And all my painting friends and a girl I know who works in my bank, my chirpopdist and various other people (my sister included) all prefer Danny!
Rhumbatugger
29-11-2016
The odds suggest that Danny will win.

And he will.
Domestos
29-11-2016
Originally Posted by Monkseal:
“Amusingly (ish), I had a look back and this is the forum poll for Top 5 in Series 6. Where are all those proud Lisa fans now eh?”

*Raises hand*. That said after the show dance my vote went firmly to Tom.
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