|
||||||||
Current odds suggest |
![]() |
|
|
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
|
|
#26 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 21,517
|
Quote:
I think the Ed Balls vote will most likely go to Judge Rinder and Claudia. If that's right, there is a possibility of either Danny or Louise being in a bottom two with Ore for the quarter-finals, with Ore going.
I'd like to see both the Judge and Claudia in the finals, but one or other seems more likely. |
|
|
|
|
Please sign in or register to remove this advertisement.
|
|
|
#27 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 589
|
Quote:
The bookies odds just reflect the money wagered. But you're right, the betting community appear to think it's a two horse race.
I'm a little surprised that Danny is not an even stronger favourite, currently available at 4/5. There must have been money for Louise to bring her in to 2/1. Claudia is at 12/1, Ore at 14/1 and Robert is the complete outsider at 66/1. Fans of Claudia can even get 4/1 against her being top woman, Louise is 2/11 ! I'd say that Danny and Louise are certainties for the final. Robert would have to avoid the bottom 2 which is unlikely, he's toast. Then it's a close call between Claudia and Ore for the third place in the final. In the final there will be a lot more floating voters, so it's possible there could be a surprise. But when it comes to "wow" dances Danny has more up his sleeve. I don't think there is anything like the concern about "ringers" among the GBP. So I'd say Danny will end up with the prize, with Louise second. BIB - I think that will all depend on if there is a DO in the semi final, if not Claudia could well get through on the public vote, however if there is a DO I think judges will choose Ore. Personally cant see them leaving it up to the public. |
|
|
|
|
|
#28 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 3,209
|
Quote:
Well, as accountants they will know that there's some decent money to be made if their favourites come in. I don't think Rinder has any earthly chance, but a tenner at 66/1 would give a nice little bit extra for Christmas.
![]() https://leightonvw.com/2011/11/25/wh...ng-favourites/ http://thebestbookies.co.uk/when-do-...ose-money.html |
|
|
|
|
|
#29 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Richmond, Surrey.
Posts: 13,811
|
Quote:
It's the other way round- Bookies don't like favourites to win- they usually lose more that way.
https://leightonvw.com/2011/11/25/wh...ng-favourites/ http://thebestbookies.co.uk/when-do-...ose-money.html |
|
|
|
|
|
#30 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 1,246
|
Logically it would be between Danny and Louise neither has been in a dance off. Both should make the final. Then one of the other three.
I can't see the judges sending either Danny or Louise home unless they are against each other. Unless either makes an awful error in the dance off. But I remember Pixie Lott so it could happen. |
|
|
|
|
|
#31 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 11,047
|
Quote:
I think the Ed Balls vote will most likely go to Judge Rinder and Claudia. If that's right, there is a possibility of either Danny or Louise being in a bottom two with Ore for the quarter-finals, with Ore going.
I'd like to see both the Judge and Claudia in the finals, but one or other seems more likely. He'd have to beat everyone in the public vote to be safe....even if Robert came 2nd in the public vote behind Danny..that may well not be enough to keep him out of the bottom two (not when there are only five contestants). It's pretty easy for the judges to ensure who goes at this stage. |
|
|
|
|
|
#32 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: Up the creek, no paddle.
Posts: 2,102
|
Quote:
It's going to be almost impossible for JR to stay this week..given he is pretty much guaranteed to be at the bottom of the judges vote (and I doubt they will have any draw scores to help him out).
He'd have to beat everyone in the public vote to be safe....even if Robert came 2nd in the public vote behind Danny..that may well not be enough to keep him out of the bottom two (not when there are only five contestants). It's pretty easy for the judges to ensure who goes at this stage. |
|
|
|
|
#33 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2015
Location: In My Basket
Posts: 3,091
|
Quote:
It's going to be almost impossible for JR to stay this week..given he is pretty much guaranteed to be at the bottom of the judges vote (and I doubt they will have any draw scores to help him out).
He'd have to beat everyone in the public vote to be safe....even if Robert came 2nd in the public vote behind Danny..that may well not be enough to keep him out of the bottom two (not when there are only five contestants). It's pretty easy for the judges to ensure who goes at this stage. If you like him, Vote Rinder. Let's beat the bastards ✊🏻✊🏻✊🏼✊🏽✊🏾✊🏿 |
|
|
|
|
|
#34 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 15,736
|
That isn't a very nice thing to say! I vote for the best dancer which is Danny, in my opinion.
|
|
|
|
|
|
#35 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: airdrie near glasgow
Posts: 1,564
|
Claudia for the win. Think judges will start giving her marks she deserves.
She gets to final she should do well. |
|
|
|
|
|
#36 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2016
Posts: 291
|
Quote:
That isn't a very nice thing to say! I vote for the best dancer which is Danny, in my opinion.
I have given some votes all over depending on the dances each week. I've previously given Rinder my floating vote, but attitudes like that mean from now it's Danny all the way |
|
|
|
|
|
#37 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 44
|
The latest odds show Danny at 1.5, Louise at 3.25 and Claudia at 12.
I find it hard to believe that Danny is such a runaway fabvourite; but even more so that Louise is his biggest competition. Surely Claudia is more popular with the public, and her dance last Saturday showed she is light years ahead of Louise now. I would expect to see Danny as favourite, but with Claudia close behind...if she keeps improving as she has the last couple of weeks, its going to be a close race to the finish IMO. |
|
|
|
|
|
#38 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 7,654
|
We know that Louise has beaten Claudia in the public vote. We don't know that Claudia has beaten Louise in the public vote. It seems sensible to me, especially as based on the scores so far you'd expect Claudia to be lower on the leaderboard this weekend and therefore more likely to be in the dance-off, and more likely to leave. If Claudia makes it to the final (even if via dance-off) then I would expect her odds to come in.
|
|
|
|
|
|
#39 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 1,162
|
If Claudia is through to the final.... with 12... I will put £50 straight away.
|
|
|
|
|
|
#40 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 589
|
I am pretty convinced that Claudia was top of the phone votes at the weekend (beating both Danny and Louise) and also think she was second last week (again beating Louise but not Danny).
I am basing this on social media stats which seem to have proved pretty much spot on so far this year in predicting bottom two etc.... Of course we will never know for sure and it is subjecture. This week however could be different again, just have to wait and see. I cant see any other winner than Danny though right now. |
|
|
|
|
|
#41 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 30,972
|
Quote:
The latest odds show Danny at 1.5, Louise at 3.25 and Claudia at 12.
I find it hard to believe that Danny is such a runaway fabvourite; but even more so that Louise is his biggest competition. Surely Claudia is more popular with the public, and her dance last Saturday showed she is light years ahead of Louise now. I would expect to see Danny as favourite, but with Claudia close behind...if she keeps improving as she has the last couple of weeks, its going to be a close race to the finish IMO. My order ATM is Danny Louise Ore Claudia. I do think her ace card will be her gymnastics and not her dancing . |
|
|
|
|
#42 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 5,398
|
Quote:
I am pretty convinced that Claudia was top of the phone votes at the weekend (beating both Danny and Louise) and also think she was second last week (again beating Louise but not Danny).
I am basing this on social media stats which seem to have proved pretty much spot on so far this year in predicting bottom two etc.... Of course we will never know for sure and it is subjecture. This week however could be different again, just have to wait and see. I cant see any other winner than Danny though right now. Quote:
Claudia is a sweet girl but Louise is the better dancer and well deserving of her place.
My order ATM is Danny Louise Ore Claudia. I do think her ace card will be her gymnastics and not her dancing . |
|
|
|
|
|
#43 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: Up the creek, no paddle.
Posts: 2,102
|
Quote:
Claudia is a sweet girl but Louise is the better dancer and well deserving of her place.
My order ATM is Danny Louise Ore Claudia. I do think her ace card will be her gymnastics and not her dancing . Last sentence is spot on. I would rather Danny won over Claudia. |
|
|
|
|
#44 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 5,398
|
Quote:
Totally agree, most of those that seem to have experience of dancing put Louise as the better dancer.
Last sentence is spot on. I would rather Danny won over Claudia. |
|
|
|
|
|
#45 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: Up the creek, no paddle.
Posts: 2,102
|
Quote:
Claudia's gymnastics is a proper advantage because she can include it in her routines.
|
|
|
|
|
#46 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 5,398
|
Quote:
Oh I agree she can and will. The lifts will be 'insane' and 'amazing'. But Danny and the other two, can dance better so I really hope the dancing wins.
There's a chance that she might take it too far and people might think that she's not doing that much dancing. |
|
|
|
|
|
#47 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 1,162
|
and yet the judges always compliment Claudia's technique and precision... the only criticism she always get is the connection... if she is worst dancer than Ore... Craig wouldn't do that 'chaines turn' in front of million viewers.
|
|
|
|
|
|
#48 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 44
|
Quote:
Totally agree, most of those that seem to have experience of dancing put Louise as the better dancer.
Last sentence is spot on. I would rather Danny won over Claudia. |
|
|
|
|
|
#49 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2003
Posts: 34,217
|
Quote:
She hasn't wowed me yet although a couple of her dances have been pleasing. The gymnastics have been impressive but then I'd expect that from an Olympic gymnast.
On the other hand the last time they put a male trained at dancing at a tertiary level in a final , he won with something he could have done on course, years before - and he beat one of the very best dancers ever on the show. But on the third hand, the last time a well trained female hit the final , she was beaten by someone who had a journey story and natural talent. |
|
|
|
|
|
#50 |
|
Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: Staffordshire
Posts: 12,277
|
Quote:
Louis got to a win incorporating his gymnastics less effectively, and dancing less well.People were wowed by a few moves.
On the other hand the last time they put a male trained at dancing at a tertiary level in a final , he won with something he could have done on course, years before - and he beat one of the very best dancers ever on the show. But on the third hand, the last time a well trained female hit the final , she was beaten by someone who had a journey story and natural talent. ![]() I admit by the end of the series Abbey Clancy became a good dancer, but like Louise she lacked passion while dancing. |
|
|
|
![]() |
|
All times are GMT. The time now is 15:26.






