Odds

http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/im-a-c...xt-elimination

are doing the trial so with the possible addition of could be in danger

Doing the trial didn't help Jordan, but it certainly can't hurt them.



I think Carol and Wayne are at most risk tonight.
Followed by Larry and Sam.

I'll be shocked if any of the other four go.

I think Carol will go tonight.

I know the 'bottom 2' can be unreliable... but is correct 90% of the time and she was there twice.

If any of those four do the Dingo Dollars challenge that could make them safer

Not sure where you get 90% of the time from?

In the first 6 evictions last year, it was the bottom 2 used 3 times, and a random person 3 times, so 50/50.

Wayne did a dingo dollar challenge last night, i don't think he'll be doing it tonight

I just meant more often than not tbh - but thanks for the stats

I'm concerned yesterday's bottom 2 was legit. Quiet edit for him tonight and Martin could be in trouble.

Assuming it was a wildcard and not legit bottom 2, Sam and Carol must be right back in the mix.

There was 7 evictions last year not including the final not 6 so it was 4/7, last year was the most ever and usually its 2 or 1 if you go back to 08 when the votes have been release the number is much closer to 90 then 50

BiB: This

No way Martin was in the bottom 2 last nite, he has lots of support on social media, it isn't just confined to this forum...

Time after time when the final voting figures are released the ones that were in the bottom two are no way near, sometimes even topping the vote...
Sometimes the Producers like to stir it.

Sam, Wayne, Larry are the ones who are in danger tonite, adding Carol in the mix too.

I never get this right but I think it might be the least known and not rammed down our throats, Sam.



Trying to work out what's legit is pointless. The one who stays rarely goes out next time in any case..
Carols been in the bottom two twice and hasn't been since.

You will have to tell me which part(s) you are having trouble understanding and I'll see if I can make it simpler

Well, 4 out of 7 is still only only 57%.

I didn't include the 7th, as there were 2 evictions, so they are obviously going to use the bottom 2 then, aren't they (as they can't do the bottom one and a random one, then evict someone else).

It may have been different in previous years, but then lots of things have been different in previous years, as the show progresses though, they are more likely to use the latest format as it evolves.

So youur leaving out a called bottom 2 for the sake of it.

And its not true the show is the same or close to year on year in 14 it had 4 out of 5 right bottom 2s but back in 12 it only had 4/8.


Since figures have been released a bottom 2 or 3 has been called 55 times and was correct 45 times or 81%

Discussions on sepcific bottom 2s would be different yes like as you said double evictions, immunity days or days before finals but thats not what we were discussing so you cant just leave them out for the sake of it

So, if you took the whole lot into consideration, closer to 80% than 90% then

Ha ha I guess so

Of course, i presume when they do use a wild card, rather than a bottom 2, is it because the wild card is close to the bottom 2 and they want people to think they are in danger, so get more votes (as ITV want to keep them in there)?

In which case, i presume that means Martin was close to being out.

Might have to go check where they were each week in the vote, when they were used instead of the real bottom 2.

OK:

In vote 3, Duncan was announced instead of Chris, he was very close with Lady C in bottom 4 (She 3rd, him 4th).

In vote 4, Tony was announced in place of Lady C, Tony was 3rd from bottom.

In vote 6, Ferne announced in place of Jorgie, but she was 2nd, but very close to the other 3 (similar to George, 4% higher than both Kieron and Jorgie, with Vicky way out in front with 20% more votes).

I think they do it for 2 reasons as you said to prolong somenones stay or sometimes to get rid of someone so they dont get the bottom 2 bounce.

Im thinking Martin was called as we will have a double tonight but thats just my hunch being honest

got a bad feeling Martin will go:,(

Hope Adam goes tonight

Still rumours about tonight being a double.

I have a bad feeling Martin could go tonight too...

I'd like to see Larry and Wayne go tonight but I don't suppose they will.

Wayne Bridge 13/8
Carol Vorderman 2/1
Sam Quek 7/2
Larry Lamb 11/2
Martin Roberts 8/1
Joel Dommett 100/1
Adam Thomas 100/1
Scarlett Moffatt 200/1

I have a really strange feeling it will be between Larry and Martin tonight

So no double eviction tonight then