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Sleaford and North Hykeman Parliamentary by-election |
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#1 |
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Join Date: May 2012
Location: Sunny Doncaster
Posts: 7,883
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Sleaford and North Hykeman Parliamentary by-election
UKIP: Victoria Ayling
Labour: Jim Clarke Conservative: Dr. Caroline Johnson Lincolnshire Independents: Marianne Overton Liberal Democrats: Ross Pepper There is also a flurry of independents standing in the election. Labour finished second in 2015 but it wouldn't be too surprising to see them finish fourth on Thursday. Sleaford really isn't fertile ground for the Lib Dems these days but they may pick up some disaffected europhile Labour voters. In a heavily leave constituency UKIP will be hoping to see a large increase in their percentage of the vote. However, their candidate is an absolute nutter, supported Raheem Kassam for the leadership and constantly makes digs at her would-be only colleague in parliament - Douglas Carswell. |
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#2 |
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Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 30,239
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UKIP is ailing?
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#3 |
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Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 4,053
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This by-election would give a better indication of Labour's declining position with voters. The Tories should have this one, but I am more interested in the fortunes of Labour. Ideally they shouldn't need to worry to much, but it will be an indicator of the perception of Mr Corbyn.
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#4 |
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Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 97,151
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Quote:
This by-election would give a better indication of Labour's declining position with voters. The Tories should have this one, but I am more interested in the fortunes of Labour. Ideally they shouldn't need to worry to much, but it will be an indicator of the perception of Mr Corbyn.
They have all been interviewed by the local paper. http://thelincolnite.co.uk/2016/12/w...nhs-transport/ |
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#5 |
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Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 2,334
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Quote:
Their candidate is local and drives a refuse lorry.
They have all been interviewed by the local paper. http://thelincolnite.co.uk/2016/12/w...nhs-transport/ |
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#6 |
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Join Date: Oct 2016
Posts: 189
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They are mostly closely interrelated up that way - so UKIP should do well.
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#7 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 59,745
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Quote:
Drives a refuse lorry. So what?
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#8 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 97,151
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Quote:
Drives a refuse lorry. So what?
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#9 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 10,626
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This is a test of Labour but also Tories. Lib Dems are cutting into Tory vote from the left. This will be about UKIP cutting into vote from right. Labour just not in the game.
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#10 |
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Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: My DJ Studio
Posts: 27,073
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I believe the Tories will hold this but with a reduced majority.
However, if the Libdems take second place, that alone would be a remarkable achievement. |
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#11 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 4,053
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Quote:
I believe the Tories will hold this but with a reduced majority.
However, if the Libdems take second place, that alone would be a remarkable achievement. |
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#12 |
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Join Date: Feb 2015
Location: Love The Beeb! PROUD Remoaner!
Posts: 11,229
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How did the vote split at the 2015 GE in this constituency? Be interested to see who the Remain voters need to back.
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#13 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 10,626
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Quote:
I believe the Tories will hold this but with a reduced majority.
However, if the Libdems take second place, that alone would be a remarkable achievement. |
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#14 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 97,151
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Quote:
How did the vote split at the 2015 GE in this constituency? Be interested to see who the Remain voters need to back.
Conservative 34,805 total votes taken. 56.2% share of the total vote +4.6% change in share of the votes Labour 10,690 total votes taken. 17.3% share of the total vote +0.4% change in share of the votes UKIP 9,716 total votes taken. 15.7% share of the total vote +12.1% change in share of the votes Liberal Democrat 3,500 total votes taken. 5.7% share of the total vote -12.5% change in share of the votes Lincolnshire Independents 3,233 total votes taken. 5.2% share of the total vote -1.2 |
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#15 |
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Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Nottingham, UK
Posts: 1,064
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Quote:
I believe the Tories will hold this but with a reduced majority.
However, if the Libdems take second place, that alone would be a remarkable achievement. https://m.oddschecker.com/t/politics...lection/winner |
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#16 |
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Gtr Manchester UK
Posts: 7,951
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Quote:
The bookies are quite confident of a Tory victory.
https://m.oddschecker.com/t/politics...lection/winner Stupid boy......
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#17 |
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Join Date: Nov 2012
Posts: 9,204
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Quote:
In a heavily leave constituency UKIP will be hoping to see a large increase in their percentage of the vote. However, their candidate is an absolute nutter, supported Raheem Kassam for the leadership and constantly makes digs at her would-be only colleague in parliament - Douglas Carswell.
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#18 |
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Join Date: Feb 2015
Location: Love The Beeb! PROUD Remoaner!
Posts: 11,229
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Quote:
2015 results
Conservative 34,805 total votes taken. 56.2% share of the total vote +4.6% change in share of the votes Labour 10,690 total votes taken. 17.3% share of the total vote +0.4% change in share of the votes UKIP 9,716 total votes taken. 15.7% share of the total vote +12.1% change in share of the votes Liberal Democrat 3,500 total votes taken. 5.7% share of the total vote -12.5% change in share of the votes Lincolnshire Independents 3,233 total votes taken. 5.2% share of the total vote -1.2 |
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#19 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2003
Posts: 34,231
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Quote:
This is a test of Labour but also Tories. Lib Dems are cutting into Tory vote from the left. This will be about UKIP cutting into vote from right. Labour just not in the game.
Both can't be right. And what we get won't be determined by May anyway. Anyone thats taken in by either party's lies and hype, really shouldn't be allowed to vote. |
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#20 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: Stirling/Windsor/Overseas
Posts: 14,360
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Quote:
2015 results
Conservative 34,805 total votes taken. 56.2% share of the total vote +4.6% change in share of the votes Labour 10,690 total votes taken. 17.3% share of the total vote +0.4% change in share of the votes UKIP 9,716 total votes taken. 15.7% share of the total vote +12.1% change in share of the votes Liberal Democrat 3,500 total votes taken. 5.7% share of the total vote -12.5% change in share of the votes Lincolnshire Independents 3,233 total votes taken. 5.2% share of the total vote -1.2 Who knows what a well run local campaign and a low turnout might give us? |
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#21 |
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Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: deploRable town centre
Posts: 6,223
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this is between the tories and ukip. it would be nice if ukip wins as a boost for the new leader and the party.
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#22 |
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Inactive Member
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 18,881
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Quote:
I believe the Tories will hold this but with a reduced majority.
However, if the Libdems take second place, that alone would be a remarkable achievement. |
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#23 |
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 3,801
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Former Kippers will surely defect to the Tories, unless they get a bounce from their new leader. Their vote was up by 12% last time: can there be many more votes for them to mop up?
The Lib Dems should pick up votes from Remainers and soft Brexiters in the Tories and Labour (worth remembering that the pro-Brexit MP resigned because he didn't agree with May's handling of Brexit). I wouldn't be surprised to see them leapfrogging into second place, which is where they were in 2010, albeit very narrowly. They dropped 12% in 2015 and should make some kind of recovery. Labour's vote will probably collapse... In the end a safe Tory win, though with some realignment of the parties at the bottom. |
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#24 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Storbritannia
Posts: 28,930
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Quote:
This by-election would give a better indication of Labour's declining position with voters. The Tories should have this one, but I am more interested in the fortunes of Labour. Ideally they shouldn't need to worry to much, but it will be an indicator of the perception of Mr Corbyn.
The interesting thing s who comes first? I suspect the Tories will still retain the seat but with a significantly reduced majority. |
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#25 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 1,039
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Quote:
this is between the tories and ukip. it would be nice if ukip wins as a boost for the new leader and the party.
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