Originally Posted by Irritable Owl:
“A Visa is going to cost you £10-20 which is a tiny fraction of what you will be spending on your trip.”
Not everything is about the cost, though. It is also about the hassle of potentially having to do it every time you go to Europe.
Originally Posted by Irritable Owl:
“Imports from the EU which will increase in price will be balanced by low prices from non-EU countries who we will be free to trade with.”
We are already free to trade with non-EU countries and the idea those costs will suddenly plummet is a false one.
Very quietly, Liam Fox admits the Brexit lie
Quote:
“[Liam Fox'] department has started to do the preliminary work at the World Trade Organisation (WTO) required for when Britain leaves the EU.
Members of the WTO have things called schedules, these are basically a description of your trading relationship with the world. They list things like your tariffs and your services commitments. Britain's are currently held under an EU umbrella and they'll need to be extracted ahead of leaving.
This should be the chance to create that confident, independent, global trading nation Fox and the other Brexiters are always talking about. Finally Britain can construct a trading arrangement which suits it, not the continent.
For instance, we can get rid of the special rule on oranges, which we don't grow but have to labour under because of the Mediterranean states in the EU which do. We can prioritise the sugar cane that Tate & Lyle uses in their sugar, rather than the sugar beet which is used in Europe. We can finally create a customised trading arrangement for this country, rather than one for a continent with which we sometimes share very few economic interests. This is exactly what Brexit was all about.
Except Fox isn't going to do any of that.
"In order to minimise disruption to global trade as we leave the EU, over the coming period the government will prepare the necessary draft schedules which replicate as far as possible our current obligations." [italics added]”
If that is true the cost of our imports from non-EU countries are likely to remain exactly the same and will not be lowered at all.
Originally Posted by Irritable Owl:
“Declining exports: well the EU's exports to us will also decline giving opportunities to UK companies to fill the void. Also, we will be able to do trade deals around the world with a much larger region.”
And where are we suddenly going to obtain the manufacturing base and skills necessary to achieve that?
Originally Posted by Irritable Owl:
“NHS: no one is talking of stopping immigration completely. We will be able to pick and choose who comes in, doctors and nurses included. We can cherry pick from the world, not just from the EU.”
The problem is that much of the work the (recent) immigrant population currently do, care assistants, etc, are precisely the sort of low-skilled but necessary jobs that wouldn't meet any entry threshold and I wouldn't rely on the UK unemployed to pick up the shortfall.
Originally Posted by Irritable Owl:
“Plenty of this WAS mentioned during the debates.
Barnier should realise that a free trade deal between the EU and the UK is in the interests of both parties. We are a big customer of theirs. Why would they happily agree to tariffs on their exports to us? They might, but does it make sense?”
It doesn't matter if it makes sense, the EU were always going to play hard-ball as a warning to others, it is how it impacts us that matters and at present the omens do not look too good.