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Brexit will cut EU immigration by 150,000 and increase wages for low paid


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Old 07-12-2016, 17:57
Dotheboyshall
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NIESR research said tight rules after Brexit could slash net migration by 2020
It could also help boost wages for Britain's poorest workers


NIESR is independent so it's views aren't tainted by the usual "well they would say that"
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Old 07-12-2016, 18:08
i4u
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But...there's a warning BReximorons...

But in a warning to Brexit hardliners, today's report from the warned such a big cut in immigration would hit the economy.

The research suggests that a drop in migrant workers on this scale would have a lost-lasting damaging effect on the economy, reducing GDP per capita in 2030 by up to 5.4 per cent below what it would otherwise have been.
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Old 07-12-2016, 18:31
Glyn W
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One other thing to consider.

EU citizens will become non-EU migrants. And will find it just as easy to migrate to the UK as non-EU citizens currently do.
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Old 07-12-2016, 18:42
Aurora13
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But...there's a warning BReximorons...
Industrial Output figures for October are the lowest for 4 years. These are actual fact not projected / not estimation. This is worrying.
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Old 07-12-2016, 18:55
aurichie
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could slash net migration and could boost wages. Sounds like pie in the sky nonsense that nobody should be taking seriously.

I could win the euromillions. And brexiteers could start living in the real world next year. But we all know neither of these are very likely, and neither are those projections from NIESR likely to come true.
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Old 07-12-2016, 19:18
Eurostar
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NIESR research said tight rules after Brexit could slash net migration by 2020
It could also help boost wages for Britain's poorest workers


But in a warning to Brexit hardliners, today's report from the warned such a big cut in immigration would hit the economy.

The research suggests that a drop in migrant workers on this scale would have a lost-lasting damaging effect on the economy, reducing GDP per capita in 2030 by up to 5.4 per cent below what it would otherwise have been.


All three predictions sound very plausible : net migration to fall, a boost in wages for the lowest paid and a fall in immigration to damage the economy.
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Old 07-12-2016, 19:21
Cheetah666
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I don't believe those predictions, and not because I don't believe they're possible. I simply do not buy the idea that a Tory government would ever cut immigration to the extent that it would force businesses to raise their wages.
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Old 07-12-2016, 19:35
Dotheboyshall
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I don't believe those predictions, and not because I don't believe they're possible. I simply do not buy the idea that a Tory government would ever cut immigration to the extent that it would force businesses to raise their wages.
Just have the same immigration rules as for non-EU folk
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Old 07-12-2016, 19:48
Cheetah666
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Just have the same immigration rules as for non-EU folk
The Tories will set whatever rules benefit big business. Its in their nature.
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Old 07-12-2016, 19:51
voteout
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Your thread title is a LIE of course, as 'could' is not the same as 'will', Brexiters tell us this all the time.
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Old 07-12-2016, 20:46
Dingbat
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Just have the same immigration rules as for non-EU folk
Considering there are more non-EU people coming to the UK than from the EU, are you proposing that we increase immigration?
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Old 07-12-2016, 20:50
Dotheboyshall
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Considering there are more non-EU people coming to the UK than from the EU, are you proposing that we increase immigration?
Wasn't that the reasoning behind Brexit, to put EU folk on the same footing as non-EU folk?
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