Originally Posted by thenetworkbabe:
“There's about 750,000 new voters coming on the register every year. And about 500k people, mostly over 65, die. If 60% of young voters vote and 65-75% of that age group continue to vote remain, you have a net gain of at least 150k remain voters a year. Not allowing for the most infirm being most unable to vote, the oldest group of voters saw turn outs about 80% and two thirds voting for Leave Thats about a net loss of 130k Leave votes a year. Unless generational attitudes change, in 5 years , the Leave margin of about 1.27 million votes is gone - attacked by the comings and goings, at both age extremes of the electorate.
There's also the potential for a lot more EU nationals to take out citizenship before we leave. . There's 3 million plus of them......
Thats why leave is so afraid of a second referendum - if anyone could think of a viable , logical, question.”
“There's about 750,000 new voters coming on the register every year. And about 500k people, mostly over 65, die. If 60% of young voters vote and 65-75% of that age group continue to vote remain, you have a net gain of at least 150k remain voters a year. Not allowing for the most infirm being most unable to vote, the oldest group of voters saw turn outs about 80% and two thirds voting for Leave Thats about a net loss of 130k Leave votes a year. Unless generational attitudes change, in 5 years , the Leave margin of about 1.27 million votes is gone - attacked by the comings and goings, at both age extremes of the electorate.
There's also the potential for a lot more EU nationals to take out citizenship before we leave. . There's 3 million plus of them......
Thats why leave is so afraid of a second referendum - if anyone could think of a viable , logical, question.”
All terribly interesting but you forget the country voted by 2 to 1 in 1975 to stay in but in 2016 it voted to leave.
If people voted the same at 60 as they do at 20 we wouldn't have had a Tory government for most of the last century.
Indeed Most of those 60 year olds who backed leave this year almost certainly voted to stay in in 1975!
So trends may not predict the future.



