Originally Posted by Nick1966:
“This is my concern, too.
To everyone's relief (including mine), the post-referendum economy is fairing well. There's job security and negligible or manageable price rises.
The only concerns so far are the OBR's downgrading of UK economic growth and deteriorating public finances. Neither of these will have an immediate impact on voters.
But if the UK government fail to reach an transitional/trade agreement with the rest of the EU in the months leading up to the UK's exit, there's a risk of a hard and chaotic Brexit. Theresa May and her government will need to manage public concerns and assure us all, that there's nothing to worry about. But if she loses credibility, she loses support.
The 3 months prior to the UK's first day out of the EU are going to be socially and politically lively. And possibly matched by growing economic uncertainty.
What if....
Prior to exit, Mrs May screws up negotiations leading to voter and business panic. Facing a squeeze from the LibDems and UKIP, the Tories panic. With George Osborne providing an increasingly convincing alternative strategy, the Tories do a 'Margaret Thatcher' and dump Mrs May. Unlikely, but not impossible.”
“This is my concern, too.
To everyone's relief (including mine), the post-referendum economy is fairing well. There's job security and negligible or manageable price rises.
The only concerns so far are the OBR's downgrading of UK economic growth and deteriorating public finances. Neither of these will have an immediate impact on voters.
But if the UK government fail to reach an transitional/trade agreement with the rest of the EU in the months leading up to the UK's exit, there's a risk of a hard and chaotic Brexit. Theresa May and her government will need to manage public concerns and assure us all, that there's nothing to worry about. But if she loses credibility, she loses support.
The 3 months prior to the UK's first day out of the EU are going to be socially and politically lively. And possibly matched by growing economic uncertainty.
What if....
Prior to exit, Mrs May screws up negotiations leading to voter and business panic. Facing a squeeze from the LibDems and UKIP, the Tories panic. With George Osborne providing an increasingly convincing alternative strategy, the Tories do a 'Margaret Thatcher' and dump Mrs May. Unlikely, but not impossible.”
I passed your whatiffery on to a film producer, regretably I'm unable to reproduce his comment on here.
