The final Comres poll before the referendum on 22 Jume had remain 8 per cent ahead but leave won in the actual vote by 4. If they now have leave ahead by 2 this suggests leave is probably more like 13 per cent ahead - assuming they are as inaccurate now as they were six months ago!

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk...-a7096316.html

I thought you were leaving Britain anyway. Got a fixed date yet?

It must rile you terribly that such thick, common, uneducated leavers keep squashing your arguments without breaking sweat.

Aurichie hasn't been around for a few days, perhaps he's tending the reindeer.

It's being processed.

And you have an attitude that means you'll never ever know.

A mile is further than a km and beyond Trevgo's visual range.

Aha, it worked

Don't you realise the mile has plunged in length since the referendum?

Speculators are predicting it will reach parity with the kilometre if negotiations go badly.

I would have thought that polls would be redundant by now considering how wrong they have been on all major issues this year. There was a survey carried out in the US after the presidential election and many of those questioned did not want to say how they were going to vote or said the exact opposite of how they would vote. In another survey only monitoring social media the result was too close to call , they had Clinton ahead but only by 1.5%. Considering that she actually won the popular vote by 2.8 million that is fairly accurate but popular votes in the US don't win elections so it is much more difficult to work out what the electoral college result would be.

Perhaps in future a polling company should concentrate their effort on social media and try and compile a large number of those using social media and track how they feel about a forthcoming election. My guess is that if we look across social media that in a large number of areas that voted leave there would have been a high percentage of those using social media to air their views between friends but may have said different things when questioned in the street or on the phone by a polling company.

I think that is true. For pretty much everyone there has been no change to their lives following the vote. such an opinion poll would only really be valid, say 5 years after we have left the EU and people can see how it has affected their lives, if at all.


However we haven't left the EU yet so these things may still yet come to pass...

The difference with Australia and Canada, though, is they have a far more balanced economy than we do. The UK economy has too much of an over-reliance on a small number of sectors, the financial industry being a prime example, and so any serious hit on such sectors, banks moving part or all of their EU-focused businesses to the likes of Frankfurt or Paris for example, could have a disproportionate effect on the UK economy.

Nothing has changed, shop prices haven't risen like people said they would.. they are cheap as chips !

You're certainly giving it your best but no banana....straight or curved.

And house prices in our area have risen 4% in the last three months, contrary to the assurances by those posters who predicted they would plummet....and who sold their houses in preparation, perhaps prematurely?

Wait until next year.

I appreciate in your simple world everything is instant, but it doesn't work like that in reality. Prices are going rise in 2017 and significantly.

They were discussing just how many millions extra it's costing the NHS in drug and equipment charges already.

Is there any point to this thread other than to have a dig at two posters here? There isn't going to be another referendum so the poll is pretty pointless anyway. Infantile thread.

We're between sale and purchase at the moment, downsizing and getting rid of our mortgage. Absolutely confident we are doing the right thing. Agent thinks we've got out just at the right time - he can see what is coming.

Even if dreamers can't.

Trevgo!

you're beyond parody now.

You always were.

It will be the prudent who end up laughing longest, not the foolhardy.

Naive or what? I deal with estate agents all the time (market analysis) and although they are mostly lovely chaps and chapesses away from work, they will tell anyone, anything to either get your instructions on their books for a sale, or to flog a property to househunters.
The "Getting in / out at the right time" opinion is a classic as it's not telling porkies about the actual particulars.
Whoever buys your property will have been 'tipped' that they are "getting in at the right time."

The agent in question is a personal friend of about 18 years. He was an arch remainer and thinks there are tough times ahead for the London market - although it's still absolutely frenetic around here, and prices climbing steeply. In other areas of London, the market has already stalled. Try selling a flat in Clerkenwell.

Hardly rocket science, considering what's around the corner.

on the Christmas Sherry already.