Originally Posted by tahiti:
“but what would that ' Brexit party' deliver ?
Carswell's version of Brexit (allow very high levels of immigration to preserve the economy, model the UK on Singapore or Dubai) or Farage's (cut immigration at any economic cost) or someone else's ?
As I said : the Brexit project might well fail due to the fragmented support it has.”
It won't fail because any government will,, politically, have to get out of the EU, the ECJ and freedom of movement. We are stuck with a solution that will have terrible economic , diplomatic and strategic costs. Its going to be a 10-20 year wait before we decide that isolationism and a declining economy were a dumb choice, and wait for the Leave voting generations to die off enough . You can't reverse the referendum decison, or move closer to our European market, until the Leave vote declines to much lower figures that have much less political impact .
May will do the only thing possible politically. She will salvage as much economic free access as she can , satisfy as many Leave voters as possible, and hope she doesn't get the blame, for the results of leaving ,on spending and the economy.
The Leave vote will remain, and remain divided. The racists will be racists. The constitutionalists will either be happy, or not, with the degree of separation. The free trade enthusiasts will remain deluded, and blame others when we remain uncompetitive. And the people who assumed we would be better off, will have to decide who to blame - themselves, Leave leaders, or the government, for being poorer,
