Originally Posted by Eurostar:
“Let's assume that Farage gets his wish and the EU is destroyed, goes through years of recession but recovers eventually. The 28 individual member states would still be prone to financial crashes and years of austerity in the the future.”
As usual, that's a very pessimistic outlook. One of the problems with the Eurozone is that those member states have far less control over their fiscal policy and have to float or sink with the Euro's performance. Individually, they'd have more control over their currency and more ability to use policy levers to protect themselves. So with the Italian crisis, banks have failed their stress tests. Locally, the banks may present a plan to correct that, and the Italian government could OK it rather than hoping the EU would permit it.
Quote:
“If the UK goes through a severe recession in five or ten or fifteen years' time post-Brexit, does this mean it is a busted flush and a "failed entity" with no future, a house of cards on the verge of collapse? According to Farage's narrative, it would be.”
Sure it would. We may go back to the '70s with high spending, high inflation and having to ask the IMF for help-
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=24575
But if that happened, then it'd be our fault. And with current policy of low interest rates, we're heading that way anyway with a combined debt bubble, low savings and rising costs.