the only winner who was favouite on day 1 was kate, and she only stayed fav for a day or two, regaining it again around week 8. like last year i think its very open at this stage, even to the current outsiders. you never know who the public will warm too.
I suppose its a question for some as to whether you call Nadia a man - Cameron and Brian were certainly male - but I did say a 'bloke' rather than a man...