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Mary's odds collapsing
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Kaitho
03-06-2005
There's been a run on Mary. Moved from 2.04 to 1.77 on Betfair in a fairly short space of time. Means nothing except people are betting on her to go of course, but to those of you who have bet on her - make sure you back it up with a vote or a hundred.
turnip
03-06-2005
that happened already today and then it turned round again.
Eagle9a
03-06-2005
Originally Posted by Kaitho:
“There's been a run on Mary. Moved from 2.04 to 1.77 on Betfair in a fairly short space of time. Means nothing except people are betting on her to go of course, but to those of you who have bet on her - make sure you back it up with a vote or a hundred.”

Do I detect a note of desparation here
Judge Dread
03-06-2005
Originally Posted by Eagle9a:
“Do I detect a note of desparation here”

Just what I was thinking.
Mr Blonde
03-06-2005
I knew this would happen as it happens every year...the male starts as the favourite to go and then slowly the female slides away...

Astla la vista, Mary.
Kaitho
03-06-2005
Originally Posted by Eagle9a:
“Do I detect a note of desparation here”

Ha ha. I'm slightly nervous - I've put a fair whack on - but I'm quietly confident. May the best gambler win
Eagle9a
03-06-2005
Originally Posted by Mr Blonde:
“Astla la vista, Mary.”

No way Jose
Rain
03-06-2005
Bai Bai Mary!!!
Eagle9a
03-06-2005
Originally Posted by Kaitho:
“Ha ha. I'm slightly nervous - I've put a fair whack on - but I'm quietly confident. May the best gambler win ”

and there speaks the one with the inside knowledge!!
rockjack
03-06-2005
i thought you have info though Kathio
Eagle9a
03-06-2005
Originally Posted by rockjack:
“i thought you have info though Kathio”

good point RJ, why the nerves?
andy1973
03-06-2005
Originally Posted by Kaitho:
“Ha ha. I'm slightly nervous - I've put a fair whack on - but I'm quietly confident. May the best gambler win ”

Its a slippery slope, overall though as long as you avoid the horses, I would take tentative bets with evictions they have done lots of twists and turns in recent years. Finding a winner is the best bet.
Eagle9a
03-06-2005
Originally Posted by andy1973:
“ Finding a winner is best bet.”

Cant argue with that gem
andy1973
03-06-2005
Originally Posted by Eagle9a:
“and there speaks the one with the inside knowledge!!”

I think it is 50/50 we all saw the polls they used to do on the live feed, bound back and forth like a jack-in-the-box. So no inside knowledge can't help that. I think the same with celeb bb, it was anyones game on final night.
dawson
03-06-2005
Don't forget that betfair is not a bookmaker, but a betting exchange. That's to say, you can try and place a bet for any odds you want, and providing someone is prepared to take it then it goes ahead.
elena
03-06-2005
The "inside knowledge" is useful as it suggests the vote may be swinging towards Mary but we don't know the overall vote so it could be meaningless; just because the sample shows Craig has less votes doesn't mean he does overall.
Judge Dread
03-06-2005
OK - who's going to start?
rockjack
03-06-2005
mary 8/11 now! eek
Eagle9a
03-06-2005
Originally Posted by Judge Dread:
“OK - who's going to start? ”

An introverted chappie with extroverted hopes. Very insecure prone to whinging and attention seeking. No hoper as far as BB goes.

Should be the first to be evicted
Kaitho
03-06-2005
Originally Posted by Eagle9a:
“good point RJ, why the nerves?”

Because my information is a small sample, which may be indicative of the way the vote is going but is certainly not guaranteed to reflect the total vote exactly.

Furthermore, even though I'm pretty sure Mary is ahead at the moment, there is still time for people to vote Craig out. I made a judgement call on Mary's odds and put my money on earlier than I would have liked because I had a feeling the odds would shift quickly. Which, to be fair, they have. But there could conceivably be late votes for Craig.

That's why the nerves.
Rain
03-06-2005
I will start!

The most wanted BB housemate ever. Profile over!

Period.
jacko12
03-06-2005
Originally Posted by turnip:
“that happened already today and then it turned round again.”

yeah but look how far she has gone as odds on favourite compared to earlier, something is going on the way in which the odds changed so quickly
brunobrookes
03-06-2005
Originally Posted by Kaitho:
“make sure you back it up with a vote or a hundred.”

You are an Endemol representative AICMFP.
FinalBroadcast
03-06-2005
Originally Posted by Rain:
“I will start!

The most wanted BB housemate ever. Profile over!

Period.”

I love the melodrama! Most wanted? Not likely.
ForumDiva
03-06-2005
Originally Posted by Mr Blonde:
“Astla la vista, Mary.”

I'm dying to see how they handle her on BBLB or if she'll even co-operate.
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