Quote:
“Originally posted by Mesostim
In the overall popularity poll Alex has 30% (Kate has 32% and Jonny 31%). Our Tim has an amazing 0%. But what's this? - In the eviction poll Alex is 48% to Tim's 52%......According to these dazzling statistics Tim could win.......
You really can prove anything with statistics then..... ”
No, but what you need to do is look at the data you are presented with an open mind.
30% favour alex to win: ergo 66% favour someone else (I can't work out why all the DS polls total 96% either ;o) There is no paradox in the result at all.
When it comes to Alex against a no-hoper there is quite a lot of margin for "tactical" votes. Tim is a no hoper (from the £70 viewpoint today and he will be next week. Alex has always looked a potential winner which is probably why Kare has had the awareness to keep nominating him.
If I were a Jonny fan or a Kate fan I would be voting hard for Alex to leave this week. Voting for Tim serves no purpose other than to satisfy some pathetic little phobia of public school types. The bookies are pretty shrewd on this. At 10/1 if any decent bets have gone down there is good incentive to keep redialling.
Moi: no vote this week. If it comes to Kate vs Jonny then my 200 votes go to Kate. It's easy with a redialer.
This week every single vote for Alex is an anti alex vote: in a three way tie things are much less certain.