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How representative do our polls tend to be?


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Old 05-12-2007, 13:50
neelia
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I know that there will be a pecentage of votes that depend on the performances on the night (how much I have no idea), but I was wondering how accurately the polls reflect the voting at the end of the week.

For instance how seriously should I take the poll showing Niki most likely to go?
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Old 05-12-2007, 13:51
spiidey
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I know that there will be a pecentage of votes that depend on the performances on the night (how much I have no idea), but I was wondering how accurately the polls reflect the voting at the end of the week.

For instance how seriously should I take the poll showing Niki most likely to go?
I'm not sure in general but what I will say is that they can be affected by some of the (misrepresentative, in some cases) fanbases on this forum.

For example, Eton Road consistently done well in the polls last year, yet finished 5th overall in the competition.
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Old 05-12-2007, 13:53
SteveOwen
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I know that there will be a pecentage of votes that depend on the performances on the night (how much I have no idea), but I was wondering how accurately the polls reflect the voting at the end of the week.

For instance how seriously should I take the poll showing Niki most likely to go?
It's hard to say. Ray was disliked by MANY on here last year and yet ended up finishing 2nd. Although I think he had the 'teen' and 'motherly' vote behind him. I don't think Niki will hold the same appeal to both markets.
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Old 05-12-2007, 13:54
spiidey
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:yawn: Statistically, of course, :yawn: amongst other things, the sample size is a key determinator in terms of how representative a poll is, and as far as this goes, our polls do well.

However, the demographic that the polls represent may be skewed in a number of areas such as age, social class, gender, geographical location (if some posters on here are to be believed) etc.

*ducks*
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Old 05-12-2007, 14:00
Chisato Geeste
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This year it has been spot on. The only one that has been.

I also remember back in Series 1 when Tabby was topping all the polls other than this one where Steve and G4 were the most popular.
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Old 05-12-2007, 14:10
neelia
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I think that Ray inceased his popularity duing the series. He was in the bottom two early on.

I know about the sample size thingy. On the other hand we are all people who are inteested enough to comment on here. There is probable a corelation between posting on here and voting.

Anyway I was more trying to decide how representative we have been in the past, regardless of how many of us there are.
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Old 05-12-2007, 14:18
yohinnchild
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Forums Faves...

Rowetta.... Came 4th
Tabby.... Came 3rd
Brenda.... Came 4th
Eton Rd.... Came 5th
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Old 05-12-2007, 14:19
SteveOwen
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Forums Faves...

Rowetta.... Came 4th
Tabby.... Came 3rd
Brenda.... Came 4th
Eton Rd.... Came 5th
Oh God, not pleasant reading for Rhyd fans!
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Old 05-12-2007, 14:20
Chisato Geeste
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Rowetta and Tabby weren't forum favourites on here; Steve topped the poll.
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Old 05-12-2007, 14:24
yohinnchild
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they were... they always win things on here eg favourite act from series 1 etc etc
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