I think there are only four who are guarenteed NOT to be in the sing off for the next couple of weeks

Jessie
Jodie
Rachel
Samantha

Any of Niamh, Sarah, Ashley, Tara, Francesca and Keisha could be in the bottom two!

However this week I do think it will be Tara upagainst either Keisha (most likely) or Ashley

While my guesses as to who is most likely to be in the bottom two agree with yours, I don't think at this stage anything is guaranteed. After all, the only real information we have is that Amy and Francesca got the fewest votes in the first week, and Cleopatra and Keisha in the second week. We have no way of knowing who has polled the most votes or who has been close to being in the bottom two.

If there is any justice, Tara should be in the bottom 2 this week, but up against who???

So much depends on the songs they are given to sing in the show. So far they have all had a fast one and a slow one, but some suited the singers better.

Jodie and Keisha did badly last week because they were both given awful songs to do yet they both did brilliantly the week before- Tara was given enough rope to hang herself but somehow got the votes

Its ok, I love her too!

And shes going to blow them away this week...!

I love Ashley too! I think she shows real potential as a great Nancy. Let's join forces!!

I think people haven't warmed to her yet because we still don't really know her. Viewers always remember the ones with a "story" - Jessie, turned down from drama school twice, Jodie, won the Biggest Loser, Francesca, knows DVO, Rachel, professional etc. etc.

It does annoy me that it seems like in order to do well in these kinds of shows - in order to make an impression on the public - you need to have an "angle".

Personally I find some of the girls without a "story" (that gets brought up week after week after week...) much more interesting. I'd rather watch a competition that is wide open and can change every week - rather than one where its pretty much decided in the first few weeks who will win based on who's got the most memorable background.

I think Tara should go this week - I think that in both of the live shows she's shown that she's a much weaker singer than the other girls.

The Francesca/Rachel bit will work more against them than for them which in turn is an advantage for Ashley, who in my opinion is a safe last 6 at least (though not my cup of tea).

I think Keisha will leave this week.

Im inclined to agree Kiesha was saved but I think she will leave this week!
Then there were 9 ............................

It's hard to call ... but where I thought Rachel was great the first week I thought she completely overdid it last week and of the 'Professionals' Sarah is my favourite ... although I need to see a 'gritty' performance from her - lets hope she gets a decent song.

Tara has been the weakest both weeks - so I wonder how long she will last?? Keisha doesn't do it for me either but I did like her sing-off last week.

Much as I would like to see a lot more of Jessie, I don't think she is as safe as people imagine.

One key observation is that Jessie is from Co Kerry in the Republic of Ireland, where they are not allowed to vote in the BBC show. Only Rachel and Niamh (both from N. Ireland) can get their home crowd to vote for them.

I am sure ALW will save Jessie in any case but losing the voting from her own town/village is a big disadvantage.

Depends on how much regional voting is going on I guess. It's worth pointing out that Aoife in Maria was in exactly the same position and it didn't hurt her. She reached the semi final and would have been in the final had she not been sabotaged by a catastrophic song choice and a terrible spot in the line up (she performed last and the lines were closed just a few minutes after she finished). I'm originally from Northern Ireland, geographically reasonably close to Belfast and Bangor and in my family, there have been votes for Jessie and Jodie rather than the Northern Irish girls.

I think Tara will be next out.

why thank you shinysides yes lets me,you and starryeyes fight ashleys corner..have to say im a jessie fan too but i think our girl needs our support more.shes been played down too hell imho..she blows judges favourites niamh and rachel away and im sick of her not getting the praise she deserves.i think shes absolutely mesmerising to watch.

I like Ashley too. Jodie is my Nancy, but Ashley is the only other one that I realistically see as Nancy. I do think that, if Ashley finds herself in the bottom two, she is toast, though.

Tara, Ashley or with any luck, Samantha

As the girls are named in no particular order, if Sarah or Tara are standing on stage in the bottom 3, you can almost guarantee that they are in the bottom two. They would not leave the same person in the bottom 3 twice.

Not a fan of Francesca and feel the judges are bigging her up as a favourite because Denise has worked with her - I personally don't find her THAT good and fully agree with ALW over her tuning issues

After watching tonight I think the bottom two will be Rachel and Francesca.

Fran leaving.

I fear for Francesca (she was poor this week, but I still think there's a really good performer in there somewhere...). I'm hoping for Tara and Samantha or Tara and Ashley, but as Tara's thus far proved indestructible... I think Ashley and Francesca, and I think Francesca'd go.

Hopefully it will be Ashley, tara or samantha who go based on tonights performances.