Coljj mentioned this on the bbUK threads and thought it might be a nice little thread to get started.

Who do you think will be the last three in the BBUSA house? and who do you think might win, BB4USA ? not who would you like to win.

Going to start it off with I think maybe Jee, Jun and Erika will be last three and maybe depending on the HoH and PoV, Jee might win.

Just seen this Susann so I'm going to think about it and return to the thread later. However here are a couple of initial thoughts just to get the ball rolling.

However at this stage I will say that the first out of Robert or Jee to break the alliance will make it to the final three, and probably the last two. The stooge alliance has been strong & has succeeded to leave the opposition looking rather lost and very divided. Once Jee or Robert crosses over the others will welcome the fact that the balance of power has shifted & offer him safety during the next few crucial weeks, the remaining stooges & Alison to be targetted first to leave Jun, Erika, Jee or Robert, Jack or Nathan in the House.

This is still very difficult to call as so much depends on H.o.H and P.o.V competitions.

Justin - Most likely to win important comps but has made too many enemies to win overall.
Robert - Also strong in comps and i get the feeling he may break cover first out of the three Stoogies and has a chance to win.
Jee - Has the best chance out of the three as he will find support amongst the evictee's.

Jack - I like Jack but he will have to start winning comps to have any chance.
Erica - Started badly but has recovered her postition and i wouldn't rule her out of taking the prize money.
Alison - good at comps but very slim chance of winning.

Jun - Played well but her tactics have become more exposed recently and no one trusts her at all so very limited chance of winning.

My conclusion at the moment would be Jee or Erica.

Jee, Jack and Erica for me. It seems to help if you choose a low profile in the house, such as Jee's uncovering his own face to allow robert the veto.
Jack seems quite honest with people, in that he'll tell them if he wants them out, so they can trust him in a strange way, and Erica is just playing it very cool, but she might be found out.

I think Jee to win tho.

ps.
Its weird agreeing with people in this BBUSA forum, the same ones I was having abusive arguments with in BBUK.

I also like Jee and Erika's chances. Alislut, Ratbert and Jun have no chance of winning but I hope I'm not proved wrong!

The ones at the moment with the best chance of winning by securing jury votes are Jack and Jee, providing they can survive that long of course. The final three I'm not sure on, I'm waiting to see who gets HOH this week to decide.

well I'm 90% convinced that one of the stooges will make it to the final, Justin not being one of them.

So I say it's gonna gonna be Jee and Jack/Erika

I'd also put money on Jee/Erika.

So guys, are we more or less agreed that Justin stands very little chance of winning even if he does make it to the final three ?

Too many Houseguests dislike him too much to give him the jury vote ? The arrogant manner he adopted towards his opponents after he won this week's Head Of House, to come back & haunt him later in the game?

I think Jee and probably Erika or Robert will be in the final two. Ideally though I'd like it to be Jee and Erika. Jee in particular has played a blinder in his strategy keeping a low profile but being friendly to everyone. He's strong in the comps and thinks through the consequences of winning..that's twice he was down to the last two in a POV comp and he did the sensible thing in throwing them in Robert's favour.

I think it'll come down to his alliance with Jun though. It's so obvious Robert and Justin want to be together in the last two and they'd screw Jee over even though he's part of 'the Dream Team'. If Jun and Jee get in there first then good on them.

I think that the last three will be Jee, Justin and Alislut

Last two - Jee and Justin.

Winner- Jee

I don't think it's affected his chances of winning, the only reason why I think Justin won't win is because people see him as a threat not because he has been arrogant.

However, IF he manages to make it to the final two depending on who he's against I actually think Justin will have a large chance on winning considering there will be more sequested stooges than the dark side.

I really hope Jee wins

Although he does seem to nice to even be in there

yeah I was asked this yesterday and hadnt given it much thought. But it all comes down to who is the most liked of the 2 groups and do any of the others have support from the opposite group ?

Jee is the most liked and none of the rest have support from opposing groups so Jee has won it.

Ali and Erika were talking about this the other day and both said Jee would win and they should nom him because of this (I think Ali said) so hopefully they will put him up for eviction but even with being nomd he might not go. If the others want to win, Jee has to go.

Why the hell is Ali so desperate to protect Justin. No wonder she is all for getting rid of Jee. The fact is Alison will NOT win the money regardless of who she is up against should she make it to the final.

Should Jack or Erika get the next HoH and target Justin it will be interesting to see which way Ali votes.

Lets say...

Jack gets HoH and noms Justin and Robert. Jack expects he will at worst have to cast the deciding vote to evict Justin.

Jee votes to evict Robert
Jun votes to evict Robert

Erika votes to evict Justin
Alison votes to evict Robert

Would Alison dare to do that? She seems so desperate to keep Justin in the house and doesn't want to nominate him but will she switch up on Ja/Er by voting to keep Justin?

Jack and Erika seemed to figure this out only a few nights ago but i realised this long ago.

As it stands the only way Jack, Erika or Alison can win is if 2 of those 3 can make it to the final.

The last 9...

5 stooges & 4 DS

The stooges will decide who wins the money unless 2 of the 5 make the final (very likely right now) becase then the 4 DS will outnumber the remaining 3 stooges on the jury by 4-3.

Right now if Jee makes the final it is the equivalent of winning the money there and then.

Robert cannot win the money unless he is up against Ali/Jack or Erika.

Jun would beat Justin or Robert if she made the final.

Justin needs to go all the way wth Robert or one of the DS to be fav in the final.

As things stand now Alison has the least chance of winning the half a mil closely followed by Robert.

LOL poor Alislut and Robert. They both love themselves and think they deserve that money. If only they realised how annoying they are!

Alison - Plays the gam well, but often goes too far. The others will probably discover her weknesses soon...
Erika - Maybe one of the favorites to win. Very determined, she has handled living with her ex very well. Will her new power let her get back at him?
Jack - If he goes soon, the show will be much more entertaining. If Dad's away, the kids can play! Sadly though, I think he might win.
Jee - Maybe he'll break the alliance. But who will be his new allies? Either he or Jun would need to win HOH to stand a chance.
Jun - Could be out soon. She doesn't know who her allies are, and she needs to start winning comps...
Justin - I'd love him to win, but I'm bit worried that Erika's going to target him. He or Robert need to win the veto comp this week...
Robert - Could be out next, but I hope he hangs on. He plays the game really well, and I certainly won't put it past him to win the veto for a third week...

I think...

Most Likely To Win: Erika or Justin
Least Likely To Win: Jun or Robert