I think the sob stories will be laid on with a trowel in week one so Daniel and Rachel will probably sail through as will any of the others who fall into this category. I think the act likely to go out in week one will be the one who makes the least impression and who's voting demographic will be smaller, and for that reason I am going for Ruth Lorenzo, as I found her quite forgettable in the boot camp stages and can't see who would be voting for her. I agree that Scott is quite vulnerable too, but as he is quite cute and a lot of young girls actually pick up the phone and vote, he may just scrape through.