Welcome to the world of Strictly Come Dancing Factoids (like Deltoids, only more inflated and certainly more supple)!
Place your bets early for Strictly Come Dancing 09
The Numbers Never Lie!
Strictly's Most Successful Profession:
Sportsmen: Despite being the most frequent male entrant, they are far and away the most successful category on SCD. Less than 17% of the total entrants make up 27% of the top half of the final LB and, on average, two in the top three celebs in an average three years.
Over 70% of our sporting brethren that start can expect to make it through to the half way stage (and that is including some well-dodgey 'athletes' like Willie Thorne and Dennis Taylor in the total entrants, too). Only introducing a couple of darts players is going to seriously dent their average. If you apply the faster higher stronger criteria to your sporting role models, then really, it’s a bit of a shoe-in: 33% of all those playing a physically demanding sport have got into the top 3. Is it that competitive edge? Their fast feet, natural poise and balance? Their ability to train? Their physical fitness? Or is it just the ‘guns’ and ‘pecs’, ladies? I know what I think.
Sportswomen, by contrast, are terribly terribly under-represented. (don’t the GBP like overtly competitive übermädchen!?) Only one sportswoman, whose primary career can genuinely be said to be that of an athlete, has actually ever been on: Denise Lewis. She nearly won.
The only other profession that can hold a candle to those with the Olympian torso are:
Female singers: They make up less than 10% of the entrants (<20% of the women), yet in terms of frequency of medal winners (albeit not gold n silver medal winners) they are nearly up there with the athletes.
Strictly's Least Successful Profession
Actresses: As a bunch, they must be a heady combination of crap and detestable, because relative to the numbers entering (most common female entrant), they are the worst performers, making up ca. 40% of female celebs, 16% of the average top half of the LB and scarcely ever making it into the top 3.
Male presenters (inc. newsreaders, but otherwise those who are known first and foremost for their presenting ‘talents’), despite being the second most common male entrant, are relatively unsuccessful / unpopular. They make up 16% of entrants, 12% of those remaining by the half way point and unless you are Gethin Jones (do we spot a trend here?) don't make it through to the last three.
Who really are the Dark Horses?
Female ‘presenters’ (inc. newsreaders, but otherwise those who are known first and foremost for their presenting ‘talents’) Common as muck, we vote them out in spades, but if they do make it through to the half way stage, we must warm to them (Why? - ed.) as they have a good chance of making it to the final three.
Actors. Despite there being relatively few of them, they tend to do rather well. They begin with <20% of the male entrants, but make up 16% of the average top 3. Is it because they are more in touch with their feminine side? Or able more able to perform, dahlink? Or because they can pull a mean tango face? Or does Arlene fancy them and Len think he used to be like them. Mwah, mwah. You decide.
Where not to place your money:
Well, don’t bother with comics, unless its Julian Clary or they look like they can wield a mean maracca, Models, (of the genuine supermodel versus portfolio career model/presenter/DJ mould). The middle aged or geriatrics, or in fact, anyone not between the ages of 30-40.
Conspiracy Theory Anyone?
Intake:
Interestingly, SCD6 intake has been a bit different: we’ve had relatively more tv presenters than usual, particularly men. This has meant a tendency towards relatively fewer male actors and – quelle surprise, given their overwhelming dominance - relatively fewer sportsmen this time around. In fact, the relatively fewer sportsmen is something of a trend in the past few years.
At the same time, the producers have also upped the ante on both the female tv presenters and female singers.
Since, proportionately speaking, these are the only categories that threaten the male sportsman and actor dominance, does this mean that They, the Evil Ones, might want a lady to win again this time. (Probably falling below target on the yoof demographic - ed) Those random unsuccessful others have fallen by the way-side, too, so well done for sneaking beneath the wire, Jodie Kidd.
The Final:
In terms of the final three, well, it has been really boringly predictable…the only real surprise is that there’s no sportsman (I shall not comment..- ed..) Indeed, given the stats, if you get rid of the sportsmen (interesting choice of words...-ed), then the only thing more likely than a female tv presenter and a male actor being in the final is that there would be a female singer in the last three.
Who wins? You decide.
Well, you probably don't, quite. But who cares?
Finally: what can we expect from SCD07:
Assuming no radical shifts (sigh, I wish) and they go with something between the new trend and overall average, we can expect at least two, maybe three, male tv presenters, one probably old, supposedly charming and portly, the other slightly more youthful but probably crap; perhaps three nubile lovelies of the 'portofolio career' variety, (you mean all t*ts no talents - ed) variety, whom we shall grow to love; an actor or two (odds are strong it’ll be one ugly and/or ungainly and /or sweaty) and one rugged and handsome from either Casualty, Holby or Eastenders (if so, can we have that Dr Adam Trueman please?). Lob in a couple of dodgey, left footed soap queens, at least one bloke with huge biceps and glistening pectorals for Tess and the rest of the distaff thinking world to drool over, a skinny songstress here and there and a couple of ringers (models/comics/gardeners/chefs..it doesn’t matter what). So long as included in that lot are two chess-piece size girlies for Darren and Vinthent, and one ginormous giraffe for Ian, the jobs a good un! Looking forward to it already!
I am off now to get a life. Insomnia is crap.
PS: These are based purely on position, since tens are the new eights.
Place your bets early for Strictly Come Dancing 09
The Numbers Never Lie!
Strictly's Most Successful Profession:
Sportsmen: Despite being the most frequent male entrant, they are far and away the most successful category on SCD. Less than 17% of the total entrants make up 27% of the top half of the final LB and, on average, two in the top three celebs in an average three years.
Over 70% of our sporting brethren that start can expect to make it through to the half way stage (and that is including some well-dodgey 'athletes' like Willie Thorne and Dennis Taylor in the total entrants, too). Only introducing a couple of darts players is going to seriously dent their average. If you apply the faster higher stronger criteria to your sporting role models, then really, it’s a bit of a shoe-in: 33% of all those playing a physically demanding sport have got into the top 3. Is it that competitive edge? Their fast feet, natural poise and balance? Their ability to train? Their physical fitness? Or is it just the ‘guns’ and ‘pecs’, ladies? I know what I think.
Sportswomen, by contrast, are terribly terribly under-represented. (don’t the GBP like overtly competitive übermädchen!?) Only one sportswoman, whose primary career can genuinely be said to be that of an athlete, has actually ever been on: Denise Lewis. She nearly won.
The only other profession that can hold a candle to those with the Olympian torso are:
Female singers: They make up less than 10% of the entrants (<20% of the women), yet in terms of frequency of medal winners (albeit not gold n silver medal winners) they are nearly up there with the athletes.
Strictly's Least Successful Profession
Actresses: As a bunch, they must be a heady combination of crap and detestable, because relative to the numbers entering (most common female entrant), they are the worst performers, making up ca. 40% of female celebs, 16% of the average top half of the LB and scarcely ever making it into the top 3.
Male presenters (inc. newsreaders, but otherwise those who are known first and foremost for their presenting ‘talents’), despite being the second most common male entrant, are relatively unsuccessful / unpopular. They make up 16% of entrants, 12% of those remaining by the half way point and unless you are Gethin Jones (do we spot a trend here?) don't make it through to the last three.
Who really are the Dark Horses?
Female ‘presenters’ (inc. newsreaders, but otherwise those who are known first and foremost for their presenting ‘talents’) Common as muck, we vote them out in spades, but if they do make it through to the half way stage, we must warm to them (Why? - ed.) as they have a good chance of making it to the final three.
Actors. Despite there being relatively few of them, they tend to do rather well. They begin with <20% of the male entrants, but make up 16% of the average top 3. Is it because they are more in touch with their feminine side? Or able more able to perform, dahlink? Or because they can pull a mean tango face? Or does Arlene fancy them and Len think he used to be like them. Mwah, mwah. You decide.
Where not to place your money:
Well, don’t bother with comics, unless its Julian Clary or they look like they can wield a mean maracca, Models, (of the genuine supermodel versus portfolio career model/presenter/DJ mould). The middle aged or geriatrics, or in fact, anyone not between the ages of 30-40.
Conspiracy Theory Anyone?
Intake:
Interestingly, SCD6 intake has been a bit different: we’ve had relatively more tv presenters than usual, particularly men. This has meant a tendency towards relatively fewer male actors and – quelle surprise, given their overwhelming dominance - relatively fewer sportsmen this time around. In fact, the relatively fewer sportsmen is something of a trend in the past few years.
At the same time, the producers have also upped the ante on both the female tv presenters and female singers.
Since, proportionately speaking, these are the only categories that threaten the male sportsman and actor dominance, does this mean that They, the Evil Ones, might want a lady to win again this time. (Probably falling below target on the yoof demographic - ed) Those random unsuccessful others have fallen by the way-side, too, so well done for sneaking beneath the wire, Jodie Kidd.
The Final:
In terms of the final three, well, it has been really boringly predictable…the only real surprise is that there’s no sportsman (I shall not comment..- ed..) Indeed, given the stats, if you get rid of the sportsmen (interesting choice of words...-ed), then the only thing more likely than a female tv presenter and a male actor being in the final is that there would be a female singer in the last three.
Who wins? You decide.
Well, you probably don't, quite. But who cares?
Finally: what can we expect from SCD07:
Assuming no radical shifts (sigh, I wish) and they go with something between the new trend and overall average, we can expect at least two, maybe three, male tv presenters, one probably old, supposedly charming and portly, the other slightly more youthful but probably crap; perhaps three nubile lovelies of the 'portofolio career' variety, (you mean all t*ts no talents - ed) variety, whom we shall grow to love; an actor or two (odds are strong it’ll be one ugly and/or ungainly and /or sweaty) and one rugged and handsome from either Casualty, Holby or Eastenders (if so, can we have that Dr Adam Trueman please?). Lob in a couple of dodgey, left footed soap queens, at least one bloke with huge biceps and glistening pectorals for Tess and the rest of the distaff thinking world to drool over, a skinny songstress here and there and a couple of ringers (models/comics/gardeners/chefs..it doesn’t matter what). So long as included in that lot are two chess-piece size girlies for Darren and Vinthent, and one ginormous giraffe for Ian, the jobs a good un! Looking forward to it already!
I am off now to get a life. Insomnia is crap.
PS: These are based purely on position, since tens are the new eights.
