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General Election May 2015 - when will the coalition split ?
coopermanyorks
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With the date edging nearer , I wonder when will the coalition implode ?
Are we waiting on a specific date or a specific policy that will cause the agreement to split ?
Are we waiting on a specific date or a specific policy that will cause the agreement to split ?
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I don't think the agreement will split. The tories still have quite a lot of legislation they want to get through before they are booted out so they have an interest in holding it together. The lib dems know they are toast and this is their last chance at being in power so they won't want to step aside any sooner than they have to.
I think it will all just start to fall apart as the campaigning intensifies and it will be increasingly bad tempered and chaotic.
Officially six weeks before the election when the campaigns start. They will campaign individually.
13 April - I'll probably have a party.
Senior Whitehall officials have been told to prepare for the last year of the coalition to do almost nothing.
Civil servants have been warned that in the run-up to the general election the Tories and Lib Dems will be at loggerheads and unable to agree any meaningful new laws.
There seems little prospect of David Cameron and Nick Clegg agreeing a formal coalition ‘divorce’ before polling day, but instead will remain in government while unable to agree on any new significant policies.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2537191/Dont-expect-government-YEAR-Civil-servants-told-coalition-loggerheads-election.html#ixzz2q7a1Jfdz
According to this mandarins have been told that European coalitions always reach gridlock in the final year.
Makes sense - it'll be interesting to see how it turns out. IMO it's in Clegg's and Cameron's interests to work with each other for as long possible, simply because if we have a year with a gridlocked government people will think long and hard about the benefit of a Coalition on May 15th.
I suspect next years Coalition schedule (Apr - March) has all but been agreed.
Of course the danger for Labour is that the Libs succeed in differentiating themselves from the Tories and start to get back the people who voted for them in 2010
As far as I can gather the 2010 Lib voters who have deserted the party have split 2 to 1 in favour of Labour......so labour will suffer most if they go back to the Libs