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Could A No Vote Lead To The UK Becoming A Federal Country?

Iqbal_MIqbal_M Posts: 4,093
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This article in the New Statesman (from the June 19th) got me thinking could a no vote that leads to more powers to the Scottish Parliament also lead to the inevitable federalisation of the UK? Consisting of Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland, and the Regions of England.

http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/2014/06/union-does-not-mean-uniform
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    Net NutNet Nut Posts: 10,286
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    Could A No Vote Lead To The UK Becoming A Federal Country?

    Let's hope so.
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    longpiggylongpiggy Posts: 2,156
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    I am afraid not. We will be the whipping boy to show you why not to step out of line. Why? Ask yourself this if you are even tempted to vote no...Sorry for the long post below - but like everywhere else they will find a reason to renege cause they cannot (Westminster NOT the English,shhh) can never be trusted. Shiny new powers for Scotland???...Well Better Together

    1. If you have put together a new “offer” of “Devo Max”, as alluded to the general public – but not stated - why should Yes Scotland not refer the result (if No) to the Electoral Commission for breaking the rules of purduh?

    2. So it is only a timetable, that’s all (no purdah rules broken)? Then the only “cast iron guarantee” is that after 18 September is “we will have a wee chat about Scotland”? There are 3 different offers on the table with no consciences? Despite having 2 years you will have a unified “offer” in about 1 month? Mmmmm chinny reckon...

    3. How long does a normal, non-complex WESTMINSTER Bill take to draft? So you will agree terms between 3 opposing parties and have the Westminster Civil Service draft a coherent White Paper/draft Bill by the end of January 2015?

    4. Will MSP’s be involved in the drafting of the offer? By January 2015? Seriously? I believe the technical, civil service, term you are looking for is “No way; No day”. Ever.

    5. Have your MP’s agreed that they will vote in favour of this offer (when you define it)? “cast iron guaranteed”? – You are aware William Hauge (11 September) said it was not a priority for the Mother of Parliaments? Apparently getting a flight up to Scotchland for empathy was a priority, actual legislation not so much.

    6. What happens to the “cast iron” if it is a Tory/UKIP coalition in the next Parliament? Actually straight up what happens in the next Parliament seeing as you have not given any assurances or consulted with your MP’s, especially out with Scotland. They ok? You are aware of the definition of “Dictator”? You might want to look up “Tw*t” as an aside, just saying.

    7. The time line is impossible for coherent legislation, but it is ok for half arsed. Genuinely it takes Westminster Departments about a month to just get a meeting together. On this complexity, agree, draft and post a Bill? Is there even a word that defines ... well impossible times infinity. Oh, there is, quasi-incertitude -that is 100/1 against OR LARGER in betting terms – knew I would get to use that at one point in life.

    8. ALL Westminster parties agree in a reduction in the Block Grant as is In the next UK Parliament what percentage decrease on top of that will be implemented if there is additional tax raising powers?
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    deptfordbakerdeptfordbaker Posts: 22,368
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    We are in a situation where everyone can vote on English legislation, but the English can not vote on Scottish, Northern Irish or Welsh legislation.

    Here's the Conservative plan.

    • handing powers over income tax to Holyrood, with the setting of rates and bands for income tax in Scotland decided by MSPs. However, the tax-free personal allowance should remain a reserved issue for Westminster.

    • establishing a Scottish version of the Office for Budget Responsibility, an independent Scottish Fiscal Commission, which would be responsible for producing official macro-economic and fiscal forecasts.

    • setting up a committee representing all the legislatures of the UK.

    • examining whether a share of Scottish VAT receipts could be assigned to the Scottish parliament, although EU law prevents devolution of VAT.

    • responsibility for the state pension would remain with the UK.

    • removing barriers from Holyrood supplementing UK benefits out of its own budgets, including housing benefit and attendance allowance.

    • there should also be Scottish versions of HMRC's personal tax statements, showing taxes that are under the control of the Scottish parliament.

    • chairs of Holyrood committees such as finance should be MSPs from opposition parties "to give stronger checks and balances" in the absence of a second chamber.

    • senior civil servants in Scotland should spend part of their career in other departments of state in the rest of the UK.
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    deptfordbakerdeptfordbaker Posts: 22,368
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    Here's the Labour plan, apparently the least generous to the Scots, probably because Labour has the most to lose though devolution.

    Powers to serve Scotland For the United Kingdom to be an effective union, it is critical that certain core matters remain reserved to the UK Parliament. Those which are not should be devolved to the Scottish Parliament. Essential reserved matters include:

    • Financial and economic matters – including monetary policy, the currency, regulation, debt management and employment law. Without these, we cannot have a single economy.
    • Foreign affairs (including international development) and defence, both of which are central to what defines a nation state.
    • The core of the Welfare State – pensions and the majority of cash benefits. These allow the social solidarity that helps bind the UK together.
    • The constitution.

    Other issues which the Commission has reviewed and concluded should remain reserved are:

    • Immigration.
    • Drugs, drug trafficking and related laws.
    • Betting, gaming and lotteries.
    • Broadcasting.
    • The civil service.
    • Abortion and analogous issues.

    • Labour will give the Scottish Parliament the power to raise around £2 billion more in revenues beyond the recent Scotland Act, so that it raises about 40 per cent of its budget from its own resources.
    • We will do this by widening the variation in income tax in the Scotland Act by half from 10p to 15p.
    • This will mean that three-quarters of basic rate income tax in Scotland will be under the control of the Scottish Parliament.
    • The Scotland Act enables the Scottish Parliament to increase or decrease income tax rates in Scotland. In addition to extending this power, we will also introduce new Scottish Progressive Rates of Income Tax, so that the Scottish Parliament can increase the rates of tax in the higher and additional bands. For the first time, the Scottish Parliament will be able to alter both the level of tax and the progressivity of the tax system, but without the risk that a Scottish Government could force tax competition within the UK by cutting only the top rates, to the detriment of public services. Labour in the Scottish Parliament would be able to use these powers if a UK Government did not set fair taxes at these levels.
    • Our interim report considered whether there was scope for devolution of air passenger duty, subject particularly to EU rules. We received a number of considered representations, and continue to note that departures from Highlands and Islands airports are already exempt from this tax. Given the pressure to reduce this tax from airlines and others and the risk of tax competition which would be created, we are not now convinced that devolution should be progressed until further consideration is given to the environmental impact and how else this tax might be reformed
    • We concluded that, for a variety of good reasons, VAT, national insurance contributions, corporation tax, alcohol, tobacco and fuel duties, climate change levy, insurance premium tax, vehicle excise duty, inheritance tax, capital gains tax and tax on oil receipts should remain reserved. However we do support, in principle, a derogation to allow a lower rate of fuel duty to be charged in remote rural areas of the Highlands and Islands.
    • As we made clear in our interim report, the Barnett formula should remain as the funding mechanism for public services in Scotland. Under our proposal, as is the case under the Scotland Act, the Barnett grant will be reduced to take account of the fact that the Scottish Parliament will have a revenue stream of its own. As a result the Scottish Parliament will be funded partly by grant calculated under the Barnett formula and partly by its own resources – principally Scottish income tax payers.
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    deptfordbakerdeptfordbaker Posts: 22,368
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    Here's, the Lib Dem plan.

    Fairer taxes: New powers for Holyrood so the majority of the money that the Scottish Parliament spends will be raised here in Scotland.

    Our plans would see the Scottish Parliament take responsibility for income tax, capital gains tax and more. If we choose, we can cut taxes for people on low and middle incomes as Lib Dems have already done as part of the UK government.

    More power for your local community: Lib Dem plans would see more powers transferred to local communities too.

    The SNP have sucked control over things like our Police force to the centre under their control.

    With our plans for local powers we’ll put an end to ever more powers being taken away from local communities.

    Best of both worlds for Scotland: The United Kingdom and Scotland is a strong partnership.

    We can share risk to boost jobs, lower energy bills, protect our pensions and get more funds for cutting edge university research.

    And with more powers for Scotland under our Home Rule plans, we would get the best of both worlds: a strong Scottish Parliament that would continue to control things like education and our NHS, and the strength and security that comes with the broad shoulders of the UK.
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    deptfordbakerdeptfordbaker Posts: 22,368
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    So basically the big three parties are saying vote no and we will give you home rule or Devo max. Then they go on to list all the things that they wont give them.

    They now have to mix all three plans together and come up with something they all agree on, on a fixed and promised timetable.

    On first inspection their plans do not seem very impressive compared to voting yes for independence.
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    jmclaughjmclaugh Posts: 64,001
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    Hopefully not, it would just be an enormous waste of money.
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    LostFoolLostFool Posts: 90,663
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    jmclaugh wrote: »
    Hopefully not, it would just be an enormous waste of money.

    Exactly. I really don't understand the arguments in favour. Expensive and more politicians blaming each other. I can't see how it would do the country any good.

    Some improvements can be made but there is no need for an entire restructuring. Federalism might be popular with leftist political anoraks but 99% of the population won't care.
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    Old Man 43Old Man 43 Posts: 6,214
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    LostFool wrote: »
    Exactly. I really don't understand the arguments in favour. Expensive and more politicians blaming each other. I can't see how it would do the country any good.

    Some improvements can be made but there is no need for an entire restructuring. Federalism might be popular with leftist political anoraks but 99% of the population won't care.

    Well I am a right of centre Conservative supporter and I think federalisation is the way to go.

    If you look around the world some of the most successful countries are federal countries.

    However it would require a significant reduction in the size and power of Westminster.
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    LostFoolLostFool Posts: 90,663
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    People may complain about Westminster politicians I'm just not sure there is much of a demand for more local democracy. Just look at the lack of enthusiasm for locally elected mayors (apart from London) and Police and Crime Commissioners.
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    deptfordbakerdeptfordbaker Posts: 22,368
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    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-25626977

    Here's the BBC's version. So some tax raising and tax rate setting powers and some welfare.

    Why not just let them raise their own money and give them education, health, welfare and immigration?

    It seems to me these Westminster politicians don't like giving up their powers and want to give away as little as possible.
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    jjwalesjjwales Posts: 48,580
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    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-25626977

    Here's the BBC's version. So some tax raising and tax rate setting powers and some welfare.

    Why not just let them raise their own money and give them education, health, welfare and immigration?

    Immigration has to stay with Westminster, as there would be no internal borders.
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    jjwalesjjwales Posts: 48,580
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    LostFool wrote: »
    Exactly. I really don't understand the arguments in favour.
    Scotland, Wales and NI have their own governments, so why not England? Needn't be that expensive if you get rid of the Lords.
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    KapellmeisterKapellmeister Posts: 41,322
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    Why should England be fractured into 'regions' when Wales and Scotland get treated as separate countries? An English parliament located in a centralised, English location would be more than adequate.
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    jjwalesjjwales Posts: 48,580
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    Why should England be fractured into 'regions' when Wales and Scotland get treated as separate countries? .
    One reason would be that England is massively bigger than Scotland and Wales. Yorkshire alone has a bigger population than Wales.
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    Iqbal_MIqbal_M Posts: 4,093
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    Why should England be fractured into 'regions' when Wales and Scotland get treated as separate countries? An English parliament located in a centralised, English location would be more than adequate.
    jjwales wrote: »
    One reason would be that England is massively bigger than Scotland and Wales. Yorkshire alone has a bigger population than Wales.

    ^This. And, also a federal settlement in which England is treated as a whole would be too London and South East centered.
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    jjnejjne Posts: 6,580
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    If it's an English parliament, then in the interests of fairness, London's devolved powers should be removed.
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    clinchclinch Posts: 11,574
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    jjwales wrote: »
    One reason would be that England is massively bigger than Scotland and Wales. Yorkshire alone has a bigger population than Wales.

    I have heard this spouted repeatedly but no-one has ever justified why England's size means it cannot be self-governing. Regionalisation is another attempt to gerrymander by the people who gave us the West Lothian question as a result of their last devolution shake-up
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    jjnejjne Posts: 6,580
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    clinch wrote: »
    I have heard this spouted repeatedly but no-one has ever justified why England's size means it cannot be self-governing. Regionalisation is another attempt to gerrymander by the people who gave us the West Lothian question as a result of their last devolution shake-up

    Because several parts of the country are as different to, and remote from, the centralised Westminster elite as Scotland and Wales are.

    If London itself warrants devolved powers, then so does any other area of England that wants it. If not, then strip Greater London -- there's nothing special about that region from a federal perspective, over and above any other part of England.
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    jmclaughjmclaugh Posts: 64,001
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    jjne wrote: »
    Because several parts of the country are as different to, and remote from, the centralised Westminster elite as Scotland and Wales are.

    If London itself warrants devolved powers, then so does any other area of England that wants it. If not, then strip Greater London -- there's nothing special about that region from a federal perspective, over and above any other part of England.

    The London Assembly while unique is really not much more than a grander form of a county council. It doesn't have the same devolved powers as the Scottish government or even the Welsh Assembly. In many instances it has less powers than a county council as it does not have responsibility for council housing, schools, social services and hospitals. There is nothing to stop the powers it has being given to other metropolitan areas or county councils if they don't already have them.

    Using it as an argument for further devolution within England is a flawed one.

    http://www.londonelects.org.uk/im-voter/what-mayor-london-and-london-assembly-do
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    Nick1966Nick1966 Posts: 15,742
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    Could A No Vote Lead To The UK Becoming A Federal Country?

    Unlikely.

    For starters, we'd need a written constiution. Beyond any subsequent politically meddling, a constitution would create four sovereign states within the UK. And create a federal parliament setting out the limits of its powers in relation to the 4 sovereign states.

    For any government experts ---
    --- are there any federal countries around the world without a written constitution ?
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    deptfordbakerdeptfordbaker Posts: 22,368
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    jjwales wrote: »
    Immigration has to stay with Westminster, as there would be no internal borders.

    All we have to do is agree residency rights in advance. Cap citizenships and give Scotland a quota. Any one caught in the wrong country faces automatic deportation.
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    jjwalesjjwales Posts: 48,580
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    clinch wrote: »
    I have heard this spouted repeatedly but no-one has ever justified why England's size means it cannot be self-governing.
    No one has said it can't be, but the fact that it contains the vast majority of the UK population would make its devolved government almost as powerful as the federal government, which would be left with very little to do.
    Regionalisation is another attempt to gerrymander by the people who gave us the West Lothian question as a result of their last devolution shake-up
    It's just another solution to the problem. I find myself wavering between the two possibilities!
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    jjwalesjjwales Posts: 48,580
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    All we have to do is agree residency rights in advance. Cap citizenships and give Scotland a quota. Any one caught in the wrong country faces automatic deportation.

    Don't like the sound of that at all! You surely have to have free movement within a single country.
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    clinchclinch Posts: 11,574
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    jjwales wrote: »
    No one has said it can't be, but the fact that it contains the vast majority of the UK population would make its devolved government almost as powerful as the federal government, which would be left with very little to do.

    That doesn't make any sense. An English parliament would have exactly the same powers as a Scottish Parliament under the devolved settlement. The size of the population has nothing to do with it.
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