2x Bet 1
Aintree 1255 The Last Euro 9/4 Champagne Present 9/4
Leop 215 Francis Of Assisi 5/2 Afternoon Sunlight 11/4
2x Bet 2
Aintree 240 Parsnip Pete 3/1 Valco De Touzaine 3/1
Galway 305 Celtic Abbey 7/4 Lo Siento 5/2
3x Bet 1
Aintree 1255 The Last Euro 9/4 Champagne Present 9/4
Leop 215 Francis Of Assisi 5/2 Afternoon Sunlight 11/4
Aintree 240 Parsnip Pete 3/1 Valco De Touzaine 3/1
Four races to start the day, may be more to follow....
2x Bet 1 with B365
Wexford 145 Banker Burke 5/2 Halling Treasure 5/2
Ayr 220 De Gooch 15/8 Wilde Pastures 3/1
2x Bet 2 with B365
Galway 235 Down Under 3/1 Black Benny 4/1
Galway 305 Little Miss Vic 15/8 Cloudy Rock 9/4
3x Bet 1 with B365
Wexford 145 Banker Burke 5/2 Halling Treasure 5/2
Ayr 220 De Gooch 15/8 Wilde Pastures 3/1
Galway 235 Down Under 3/1 Black Benny 4/1
It's looking like a relatively quiet day today. I've got one 2x below, but even that is touch and go. Both races have a third horse which may come into the equation but we'll go with what we can at the moment.
There is a third race I'm keeping my eye on for a 3x bet (the 1250 at Catterick), but the prices are too short at the moment. Other than that, I need some NR to make up any other bets.
2x Bet 1 with Bet365
FL 140 Kilcullen Article 11/4 Mac Le Couteau 11/4 (Kapricorne 3/1)
FL 310 High Aspirations 5/2 Definitely Lovely 3/1 (Matripajo 7/2)
If I went for a new type of bet which takes three horses in either two (9-pts per race) or three races (27-pts per race ), I'd have to up the minimum price of the favourite to be at least 2/1 to cover the bet, so these races would fit the bill.
The next problem would be what to call them, as 2x and 3x are already taken.
Right, as of now I'm renaming the two systems, 2x will from henceforth be known as 2H2R and 3x will be 2H3R, which indicates the number of horses selected and the number of races covered. If I find the time to properly set up similar 3H systems, I'm ready to go.
At the moment there's nothing of interest in the 2H bets, so I've set up a 3H
The 3H2R bet is a 9-pt bet as there are nine ways of selecting two horses to win.
The 3H3R bet is a 27-pt bet as there are 27 ways of selecting three horses to win.
My target return for both is 20% ROI.
The 3H2R bet aims at a 50% strike rate and the 3H3R at a 40% strike rate.
So, the first 3H2R bet is...
3H2R with William Hill
Taunton 310 Springinherstep 2/1 Pure Smile 9/2 Mahican 9/2
Notts 430 Time Square 7/2 Monopoli 100/30 Card High 5/1
If it wins (at the current prices), the lowest return is 13.5pts, the best 33pts
3H3R Bet 1 with Ladbrokes
Taunton 310 Springinherstep 11/4 Mahican 7/2 Pure Smile 4/1
Notts 430 Time Square 100/30 Monopoli 100/30 Card High 5/1
Taunton 410 Pod 9/4 El Toreros 4/1 Chance Encounter 4/1
If it wins (at the current prices), the lowest return is 40.63pts, the best an eyewatering 150pts
3H2R Bet 2 with SportingBet(do they do BOG? for these purposes I'll assume so)
Worc 250 River Deep 15/8 Bulfin Island 3/1 Magheral Express 7/2
Taunton 410 Pod 9/4 El Toreros 4/1 Chance Encounter 4/1
Also the first 2H2R of the day... 2H2R bet 1 with SportingBet
Worc 250 River Deep 15/8 Bulfin Island 3/1
Kemp 755 Shalambar 9/4 Hallouella 3/1
Now got another bet I can add now the prices in the Taunton and Worcester races have moved a bit. I can't believe that's going to be Firm by the off, Heavy more like
2H3R Bet 1 with BetVictor
Worc 250 River Deep 15/8 Magheral Express 100/30
Taunton 310 Springinherstep 9/4 Houston Dinamo 7/2
Kemp 755 Shalambar 5/2 Hallouella 7/2
Not a bad day overall, with four races coming good in one way or another.
2H2R returned 13pts from one bet
3H2R returned an amazing 50pts from one bet.
2H2R Stats
23 wins from 76 bets 30.26% (target 35%)
Total stake 304 pts, total return 331.77 pts
P/L +27.77 pts, ROI +9.13% (target 20%)
2H3R Stats
6 wins from 36 bets 16.66% (target 25%)
Total stake 288 pts, total return 204.7 pts
P/L -83.3 pts, ROI -28.93% (target 20%)
3H2R Stats
1 wins from 2 bets 50% (target 50%)
Total stake 18 pts, total return 50 pts
P/L +32 pts, ROI +177.77% (target 20%)
3H3R Stats
0 wins from 1 bets 0% (target 40%)
Total stake 27 pts, total return 0 pts
P/L -27 pts, ROI -100% (target 20%)
A few for today. A lot riding on the first race at the moment
Bet 1 - 2H2R with B365
Stratford 110 Gold Man 11/4 Mount Haven 3/1
Lingfield 220 Leonard Thomas 3/1 Little Buxted 7/1
Bet 2 - 2H2R with B365
Stratford 310 Trafalgar 3/1 Water Wagtail 100/30
Clonmel 325 Fever Pitch 7/4 Too Scoops 15/8
Bet 3 - 2H3R with B365
Stratford 110 Gold Man 11/4 Mount Haven 3/1
Lingfield 220 Leonard Thomas 3/1 Little Buxted 7/1
Stratford 310 Trafalgar 3/1 Water Wagtail 100/30
Bet 4 - 3H2R with B365
Stratford 110 Gold Man 11/4 Mount Haven 3/1 Mr Burbidge 11/2
Lingfield 250 Crowleys Law 4/1 Water Hole 4/1 Wahgah 5/1
Bet 5 - 3H3R with BetVictor
Stratford 110 Gold Man 5/2 Mount Haven 4/1 Mr Burbidge 5/1
Clonmel 225 Memories Of Milan 3/1 Shantou Flyer 4/1 Perrie Hill 4/1
Lingfield 250 Crowleys Law 4/1 Water Hole 9/2 Wahgah 5/1
that looked a dangerous strategy - putting most of your eggs in one basket !
I haven't got any real discriminator telling me how to match up the races, so sometimes I start at the top, sometimes they're more random when races 'fit' earlier in the day and I match THEM up. Still, bet 2 is alive - glass half full and all that
Comments
2x bet 1
Chep 410 regal encore 3/1 boondooma 7/2
Donc 500 Louis the pious 3/1 top notch Tonto 7/2
19 wins from 69 bets 27.53% (target 35%)
Total stake 276 pts, total return 271.91 pts
P/L -4.1 pts, ROI -1.49% (target 20%)
3x Stats
5 wins from 32 bets 15.62% (target 25%)
Total stake 256 pts, total return 165.09 pts
P/L -90.91 pts, ROI -35.52% (target 20%)
2x Bet 1
Aintree 1255 The Last Euro 9/4 Champagne Present 9/4
Leop 215 Francis Of Assisi 5/2 Afternoon Sunlight 11/4
2x Bet 2
Aintree 240 Parsnip Pete 3/1 Valco De Touzaine 3/1
Galway 305 Celtic Abbey 7/4 Lo Siento 5/2
3x Bet 1
Aintree 1255 The Last Euro 9/4 Champagne Present 9/4
Leop 215 Francis Of Assisi 5/2 Afternoon Sunlight 11/4
Aintree 240 Parsnip Pete 3/1 Valco De Touzaine 3/1
2x Stats
20 wins from 71 bets 28.16% (target 35%)
Total stake 284 pts, total return 287.08 pts
P/L +3.07 pts, ROI +1.08% (target 20%)
3x Stats
5 wins from 33 bets 15.15% (target 25%)
Total stake 264 pts, total return 165.09 pts
P/L -98.91 pts, ROI -37.47% (target 20%)
2x weekly performance
4 wins from 15 bets
Stake 60 pts, return 65.42 pts
3x weekly performance
1 wins from 8 bets
Stake 64 pts, return 57.75 pts
2x Bet 1 with B365
Wexford 145 Banker Burke 5/2 Halling Treasure 5/2
Ayr 220 De Gooch 15/8 Wilde Pastures 3/1
2x Bet 2 with B365
Galway 235 Down Under 3/1 Black Benny 4/1
Galway 305 Little Miss Vic 15/8 Cloudy Rock 9/4
3x Bet 1 with B365
Wexford 145 Banker Burke 5/2 Halling Treasure 5/2
Ayr 220 De Gooch 15/8 Wilde Pastures 3/1
Galway 235 Down Under 3/1 Black Benny 4/1
Leicester 200 Trixie Malone 5/2 Swift Cedar 11/4
Wexford 345 Crown Theatre 15/8 The Mooch 11/4
Still trying to conjur up another 3x bet
Leicester 200 Trixie Malone 5/2 Swift Cedar 11/4
Galway 305 Little Miss Vic 15/8 Cloudy Rock 9/4
Wexford 345 Crown Theatre 15/8 The Mooch 11/4
and just the first race away from a clean sweep. Nice to get a 5/1 winner in one of the doubles, just a pity it was in the losing treble.
2x Stats
22 wins from 74 bets 29.72% (target 35%)
Total stake 296 pts, total return 318.77 pts
P/L +22.77 pts, ROI +7.69% (target 20%)
3x Stats
6 wins from 35 bets 17.14% (target 25%)
Total stake 280 pts, total return 204.7 pts
P/L -75.3 pts, ROI -26.9% (target 20%)
There is a third race I'm keeping my eye on for a 3x bet (the 1250 at Catterick), but the prices are too short at the moment. Other than that, I need some NR to make up any other bets.
2x Bet 1 with Bet365
FL 140 Kilcullen Article 11/4 Mac Le Couteau 11/4 (Kapricorne 3/1)
FL 310 High Aspirations 5/2 Definitely Lovely 3/1 (Matripajo 7/2)
If I went for a new type of bet which takes three horses in either two (9-pts per race) or three races (27-pts per race ), I'd have to up the minimum price of the favourite to be at least 2/1 to cover the bet, so these races would fit the bill.
The next problem would be what to call them, as 2x and 3x are already taken.
2H2R Stats
22 wins from 75 bets 29.33% (target 35%)
Total stake 300 pts, total return 318.77 pts
P/L +18.77 pts, ROI +6.25% (target 20%)
2H3R Stats
6 wins from 35 bets 17.14% (target 25%)
Total stake 280 pts, total return 204.7 pts
P/L -75.3 pts, ROI -26.9% (target 20%)
The 3H2R bet is a 9-pt bet as there are nine ways of selecting two horses to win.
The 3H3R bet is a 27-pt bet as there are 27 ways of selecting three horses to win.
My target return for both is 20% ROI.
The 3H2R bet aims at a 50% strike rate and the 3H3R at a 40% strike rate.
So, the first 3H2R bet is...
3H2R with William Hill
Taunton 310 Springinherstep 2/1 Pure Smile 9/2 Mahican 9/2
Notts 430 Time Square 7/2 Monopoli 100/30 Card High 5/1
If it wins (at the current prices), the lowest return is 13.5pts, the best 33pts
Taunton 310 Springinherstep 11/4 Mahican 7/2 Pure Smile 4/1
Notts 430 Time Square 100/30 Monopoli 100/30 Card High 5/1
Taunton 410 Pod 9/4 El Toreros 4/1 Chance Encounter 4/1
If it wins (at the current prices), the lowest return is 40.63pts, the best an eyewatering 150pts
3H2R Bet 2 with SportingBet(do they do BOG? for these purposes I'll assume so)
Worc 250 River Deep 15/8 Bulfin Island 3/1 Magheral Express 7/2
Taunton 410 Pod 9/4 El Toreros 4/1 Chance Encounter 4/1
Also the first 2H2R of the day...
2H2R bet 1 with SportingBet
Worc 250 River Deep 15/8 Bulfin Island 3/1
Kemp 755 Shalambar 9/4 Hallouella 3/1
2H3R Bet 1 with BetVictor
Worc 250 River Deep 15/8 Magheral Express 100/30
Taunton 310 Springinherstep 9/4 Houston Dinamo 7/2
Kemp 755 Shalambar 5/2 Hallouella 7/2
2H2R returned 13pts from one bet
3H2R returned an amazing 50pts from one bet.
2H2R Stats
23 wins from 76 bets 30.26% (target 35%)
Total stake 304 pts, total return 331.77 pts
P/L +27.77 pts, ROI +9.13% (target 20%)
2H3R Stats
6 wins from 36 bets 16.66% (target 25%)
Total stake 288 pts, total return 204.7 pts
P/L -83.3 pts, ROI -28.93% (target 20%)
3H2R Stats
1 wins from 2 bets 50% (target 50%)
Total stake 18 pts, total return 50 pts
P/L +32 pts, ROI +177.77% (target 20%)
3H3R Stats
0 wins from 1 bets 0% (target 40%)
Total stake 27 pts, total return 0 pts
P/L -27 pts, ROI -100% (target 20%)
Bet 1 - 2H2R with B365
Stratford 110 Gold Man 11/4 Mount Haven 3/1
Lingfield 220 Leonard Thomas 3/1 Little Buxted 7/1
Bet 2 - 2H2R with B365
Stratford 310 Trafalgar 3/1 Water Wagtail 100/30
Clonmel 325 Fever Pitch 7/4 Too Scoops 15/8
Bet 3 - 2H3R with B365
Stratford 110 Gold Man 11/4 Mount Haven 3/1
Lingfield 220 Leonard Thomas 3/1 Little Buxted 7/1
Stratford 310 Trafalgar 3/1 Water Wagtail 100/30
Bet 4 - 3H2R with B365
Stratford 110 Gold Man 11/4 Mount Haven 3/1 Mr Burbidge 11/2
Lingfield 250 Crowleys Law 4/1 Water Hole 4/1 Wahgah 5/1
Bet 5 - 3H3R with BetVictor
Stratford 110 Gold Man 5/2 Mount Haven 4/1 Mr Burbidge 5/1
Clonmel 225 Memories Of Milan 3/1 Shantou Flyer 4/1 Perrie Hill 4/1
Lingfield 250 Crowleys Law 4/1 Water Hole 9/2 Wahgah 5/1
oh dear.......>:(
that looked a dangerous strategy - putting most of your eggs in one basket !
Crash
Burn
I haven't got any real discriminator telling me how to match up the races, so sometimes I start at the top, sometimes they're more random when races 'fit' earlier in the day and I match THEM up. Still, bet 2 is alive - glass half full and all that
2H2R Stats
23 wins from 78 bets 29.48% (target 35%)
Total stake 312 pts, total return 331.77 pts
P/L +19.77 pts, ROI +6.33% (target 20%)
2H3R Stats
6 wins from 37 bets 16.21% (target 25%)
Total stake 296 pts, total return 204.7 pts
P/L -91.3 pts, ROI -30.85% (target 20%)
3H2R Stats
1 wins from 3 bets 33.33% (target 50%)
Total stake 27 pts, total return 50 pts
P/L +23 pts, ROI +85.18% (target 20%)
3H3R Stats
0 wins from 2 bets 0% (target 40%)
Total stake 54 pts, total return 0 pts
P/L -54 pts, ROI -100% (target 20%)
Bet 1 - 2H2R with B365
Weth 215 Silver Roque 5/2 Trustan Times 11/4
Weth 325 Big Sound 11/4 Ballyben 3/1