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Cameron on the back foot?
I've read that Cameron is mobilising the "remain in EU" campaign. Could the reason be that a new poll has the out campaign 6 points ahead
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3402917/EU-shock-vote-storms-six-cent-ahead-wake-Paris-massacre-Cologne-sex-attacks-migrant-crisis.html
Now whilst I have many reservations about polls, it's interesting that this one is by the same pollster that got a somewhat differet result only some 8 months ago.
My choice of post-article comments:
All you here is reform, reform.....so if the EU is such a plus for the UK why is so much change needed ! Of course any of this so called reform will be superfluous to the wants of the British people anyway.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3402917/EU-shock-vote-storms-six-cent-ahead-wake-Paris-massacre-Cologne-sex-attacks-migrant-crisis.html
Now whilst I have many reservations about polls, it's interesting that this one is by the same pollster that got a somewhat differet result only some 8 months ago.
My choice of post-article comments:
All you here is reform, reform.....so if the EU is such a plus for the UK why is so much change needed ! Of course any of this so called reform will be superfluous to the wants of the British people anyway.
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Comments
I'd go along with that...
I know it's fun to make everything about left v right, but this debate is about remain or leave. There are people in both camps in both main parties.
Cameron is on the back foot in the remain campaign.
Read the OP, properly. I understand that may be difficult for you despite you having your own mental poll miscalculaion of what will be needed come polling day.
Don't even present your imaginations, we know how biased they are.:)
Leave has been improving in the polls month by month and, right now, there's plenty of bad news coming out of the EU - enough to keep the polls favouring a Brexit. All the momentum is with Leave but that might change when the fear campaign starts in earnest.
Time will tell. However, a narrow 'in' vote will be a seismic shift, like the narrower than expected 'no' vote in Scotland.
The fear campaign is going to have to do something spectacular to outweigh the news at the moment - if they simply keep repeating garbage like losing 3 million jobs then they are sunk.
Are they keeping the game changer until the last 24-48 hours before voting.
Possibly although I have no idea what it could be. I have always been in favour of exit but never expected to win the referendum - recent events have made me a lot more hopeful though.
I agree. In any referendum those in favour of change always make the most noise while those happy with the status quo tend to be silent until polling day.
But are often less inclined to vote. I'm pretty sure they'll be a number of people for whom the EU is a distant thing that they feel has little impact on their lives. Many of those people just won't bother to vote. I don't think enough people care about the EU to go and vote to stay in it and apathy to the EU will be the reason for a Brexit. That's just my feeling though.
I suppose it will depend on the turnout - and that could depend upon the date.
I'd agree with that. I think the direction of travel of the UK public is out, I'm probably going to vote Out myself as the fact closing our borders isn't even up for discussion is a complete deal breaker.
Thats the problem , the little Englanders, heirs to Enoch, and those angry about immigrants, will be more determined to vote. The ones wanting to avoid the vast unknows , and downside, of withdrawal won't be so psychologically committed. Labour haave a policy of in, but a leader who is a joke, who actually wants out. The out vote is largely an older generation thing to,o and they tend to vote, and be stable where they live, and on the current register. The young vote often won't , or won't be able to , vote .
On the other hand, the no campaign is stuck with a cast of potentially gruesome leaders - like Lawson, Tebbit, IDS and Farage - who will put 75% of the population off. Cameron though seems to be going for a Boris proposal which will allow Boris , Cameron, Clegg, Sturgeon , and the saner Labour leaders to present an united front.
I'd be very wary of looking like I was on the same side as Cameron if I were anyone who isn't a Tory. That guy and his party are a toxic association as far as the electorate are concerned. Just look at the fate of the Lib Dems (anywhere) and Labour in Scotland for proof of that.
The electorate certainly won't have any mercy at all for anyone doing things for what they consider is the greater good.
It's a weird situation, as if the electorate vote for Tories and yet inside hate themselves for doing so, and take it out on anyone they perceive as being close to the them.
Sort of like kicking the dog of the abusive partner you can't bear to leave.
Whatever it is it ain't healthy that's for sure.
What an odd rant. A lot of bitter assumptions in there.
Support for UKIP/Farage grows by the day whilst Cameron, Clegg and Sturgeon are really popular across the wider population. Delete as appropriate.
The Nats in Scotland blamed old people and English people for the No vote in 2014 when in reality every study of voting on the day showed an across the board No vote including among 16-24 year olds.
Working age people have as much if not more to lose from continued mass migration from Eastern Europe.